Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
June 24, 2004
WAR: Going Hard on the Mullahs

David Warren thinks the rising nuclear threat presented by the repressive theocarcy in Iran is so grave that Bush should launch military strikes, even if it costs him the election. Via Bill Hobbs, who agrees but thinks Bush's electoral prospects wouldn't be harmed. I'm highly sympathetic to the idea of using air power to take out Iran's nuclear capacity and using covery operations to speed the overthrow the Iranian government by pro-Western democratic reformers. I'm less certain that we've quite reached the right moment for either, but I would certainly hope that the Administration is considering the question closely, election or no election.

Of course, given Iran's vast size and our commitments in Iraq, Afghanistan and Korea, there's no way we'd be able to provide nation-building security support in Iran. But then, democracies broke out all over the place in the late 80s and early 90s without American hand-holding, in many cases in countries ravaged by Communism. In Iran, there's no possibility of getting a worse government than the current one, so the only real risks would be (1) total destabilization of the place and (2) we better be damn sure we hit all the nuclear sites. Those are real risks. But nuclear weapons in the hands of the sponsors of Hezbollah is a prospect too frightening to contemplate.

Like the man says: faster, please.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:35 PM | War 2004 | Comments (2) | TrackBack (0)

BC, I can't help but think that the Israelis are watching all of these goings-on very, very closely. Tehran has already said that it will use a nuke against Israel once it has the capability to do so. I can't imagine that Israel will let that come anywhere close to becoming a reality.

Posted by: mikeski at June 25, 2004 11:23 AM

"... so the only real risks would be (1) total destabilization of the place ..."

C'mon, BC, does this really bother you at all? Could you perhaps describe what "total destabilization" is for those of your readers who lack imagination or don't happen to live in Iraq?

I am comforted by the thought that you, Michael Ledeen and other members of the Insane Geopolitical Posse will be sent packing so far away from the adult decision-making process come November you'll have to ask directions from contrail watchers and alien abductees just to find your way back to the extreme fringe of political discourse.

Faster please.

Posted by: Demogenes at June 25, 2004 11:51 PM
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