Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
August 15, 2000
BASEBALL: Offensive Winning Percentages

This is an email I sent to Rob Neyer on August 15, 2000, reformatted for publication.

ESPN.com calculates "offensive winning percentage," which I assume is the
same basic formula used in your book. Here are the Mets/Braves starting
lineups through Sunday, with ranks among guys at the position in the NL
qualifying for the batting title:

PosMetsOW%RankBravesOW%Rank
CPiazza.8351 of 4Lopez.5284 of 4
1BZeile.6179 of 17Galarraga.6408 of 17
2BAlfonzo.7442 of 15Lockhart.346DNQ
SSBordick*.5603 of 11Furcal.623DNQ
3BVentura.5366 of 9C. Jones.7231 of 9
RFBell.6119 of 16Jordan.52112 of 16
CFPayton.52211 of 19A. Jones.6737 of 19
LFAgbayani.692DNQSurhoff*.56511 of 18
PHampton.391DNQMaddux.089DNQ

*-Based on full year stats

I seem to recall from the book that very few of the all-time great teams you listed had a regular at every position with an OW% over .500, let alone .520, but if Veras were healthy, both of these teams would meet that standard at this stage of the season.

I had to put in the pitchers to show that Hampton is having a better year with the bat than the Braves' starting 2B. The Braves fail to stack up to the Mets primarily due to the absence of Quilvio Veras and the fact that Chipper would be the Mets' third-best hitter. The Mets have a better ERA in the starting rotation and have scored more runs than Atlanta; the Braves' only statistical advantage is in the bullpen (!).

Also: Benny Agbayani's OPS, for 1999-2000, is now .891 (comparing favorably to the .876 figure posted by Bubba Trammell, 1998-2000). Agbayani was not an impressive minor league hitter. Is this a real improvement, or are we still waiting for a larger sample size for Agbayani to return to earth?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:41 PM | Baseball 2002-03 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
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