Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
May 6, 2005
BASEBALL: DIPS and Downs Part II

The second half of yesterday's post: the weaker pitchers.

4.51 to 5.00

PitcherIPDIPS ERA
Lowry98.24.53
J.Johnson107.14.54
Jennings1284.54
Fogg111.24.55
Clement99.24.56
Ol.Perez130.14.56
Greinke113.24.56
Ponson132.14.56
Lidle117.24.57
Od.Perez119.24.57
Towers108.14.59
Chen814.61
Redman1234.63
Contreras128.14.66
Vazquez116.14.67
Bush1154.71
Meche119.24.74
Myers1264.75
Lilly116.14.77
Wolf79.24.79
Villone71.24.80
Leiter1134.83
Mulholland90.24.84
Santos1004.89
Park76.14.97
Loaiza1014.98
Kennedy90.15.00

A few people here, like Clement and Oliver Perez, I was surprised to see rank so low. Some of these guys are doing better in the 2005 portion, like Brett Myers and Vazquez. DIPS seems pessimistic on Bruce Chen's improvement.

If you're below Chan Ho Park in anything, you got problems.

5.01 to 5.50

PitcherIPDIPS ERA
Halama77.15.01
Trachsel905.04
Sele895.05
Garland141.25.06
M.Wood1015.07
Capuano705.07
C.Lee100.25.07
Suppan113.15.08
Sosa70.25.10
Moyer125.25.10
Harang1195.13
Lohse108.25.16
Rueter1195.16
Vogelsong72.15.18
Mulder1305.19
Fossum945.20
B.Anderson1155.21
Elarton116.25.24
Claussen80.15.26
P.Wilson111.15.27
Ra.Ortiz74.25.27
Jam.Wright108.25.28
Bell92.25.29
Wakefield1155.30
Robertson1135.34
May95.25.42
Glavine114.15.44

No bad luck for Glavine, just bad pitching. Trachsel was nothing so hot, either; he had a fine run with the Mets but was running on fumes the second half of last year. And you can see, especially in contrast to where Danny Haren ranked yesterday, why the Mulder deal is a real risk for the Cardinals. Garland is low because he pitched a lot of innings last year, so this year's numbers don't make much of an impact yet. Wakefield, being a knuckleballer, can be expected to outperform his DIPS ERA anyway.

5.51 to 6.50

PitcherIPDIPS ERA
Cabrera985.56
Brazleton1155.62
Batista88.25.71
Franklin134.15.73
Lima119.15.75
Estes123.25.79
Milton130.25.83
Ishii89.15.98
Ru.Ortiz122.26.10
Valdez716.21

You can see here why the pitchers on my HACKING MASS team over at Baseball Prospectus are Russ Ortiz and Jose Lima, both of whom moved into tougher parks to pitch in this year. Hopefully, the Ishii Experience will be brief now that the Mets are developing other options, but it's debatable whether he's the most flammable of the Washed-Up Ex-Dodgers Club along with Park, Pedro Astacio and Hideo Nomo (what, Ramon Martinez can't find work?).

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:57 AM | Baseball 2005 • | Baseball Studies | Comments (3) | TrackBack (0)
Comments

I'm just wondering where Vic Zambrano would rate. I assume you missed him because of the time he spent in two leagues.

Posted by: JJ at May 6, 2005 3:48 PM

Whoops. I thought that your criteria was last year, but as is Vic probably doesn't qualify. I'd still like to see his relative placement, though.

Posted by: JJ at May 7, 2005 12:53 AM

On 2005, not well, but not as bad as his ERA entering tonight's start. I'd still take him over Glavine or Ishii.

Posted by: The Crank at May 7, 2005 1:01 AM
Site Meter 250wde_2004WeblogAwards_BestSports.jpg