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Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
October 4, 2005
BASEBALL: 2005 Playoff Predictions
Somehow, like clockwork, I always wind up being swamped at work just as the playoffs start, and thus unable to offer a proper playoff preview. This year being no exception, I'll just offer a few quick picks: *ALDS: Hated Yankees over Angels. Yes, I know the Angels match up well with the Yanks and give them fits, but this Yankees team has too much firepower to go down this quiclkly. *ALDS: White Sox over Red Sox. The Pale Hose finished with a rush after an extended slump, and are hot again at just the right time. They have better pitching than the champs, and while they're not as good a team all around, I don't see a Red Sox-Yankees replay in the cards. So, I pick the White Sox to win their first postseason series since throwing the 1919 World Series. *ALCS: Yankees over White Sox. If this is indeed the matchup, I predict a sweep. *NLDS: Braves over Astros. On paper, the Astros are a better team with better frontline pitching, but there's a history here - the Astros have drawn Atlanta in the first round in their last four playoff appearances and five of six playoff appearances since 1997. Last year, when Beltran went bonkers, was the only time they won. Of course, the health and stamina of Clemens and Smoltz is key. Maybe it's my superstitious awe of Bobby Cox and Leo Mazzone, but I go with the Braves. *NLDS: Cardinals over Padres. St. Louis' pitching has unraveled in the last few weeks, but the Padres give them the chance to get healthy again. Probably a 3-1 series. *NLCS: Cards over Braves. Pujols & Co. are on a mission; the Braves by this point will be firmly in over their heads. *World Series: Cards over Yankees. All bets could be off if Carpenter and Mulder can't get straightened out, but otherwise this St. Louis team is the class of the field, and so I'll predict them to win it all. I'm not counting out the Yankees, but they are definitely vulnerable with their pitching. Of the other six teams, probably the best bet to stage a surprise run would be Houston, with the Big Three. But I'll go with my picks. Comments
White Sox over Red: Boston's just not the same team they were last year. Contreras is downright nasty right now, and the Sox don't have any starter even close. And the White Sox are stronger with 2 and 3 staters as well. I love Timlin, but he's in over his head. The BoSox will beat up Chicago pitching once, but lose in four. Angels over Yankees: Mostly because I can't pick the Yanks if I have the Sox lose, but I believe in the Angels matchup factor, and that the Yanks, like the Sox, aren't as good as they seem. So what if Unit is 4-0 down the stretch—he only struck out 31 guys in those six starts. He is not that dominating anymore. If Giambi and Bernie are forced to make plays in the field (and they will be) that alone might cost the Yankees the series. Astros over Braves: I like the pitching. End of story. Three great starters and a dominant closer. The 'stros rewrite history of this matchup and advance. Cards over Pads: St Louis is a great team, no question, but I think it takes five for them to put away the Padres. And an upset in this series would be the least surprising to me. Don't know why, just a hunch... Angels / White Sox Flip a coin. Astros over Cards Tight series goes seven. Astros win World Series. In five. Posted by: Mr Furious at October 4, 2005 11:36 AMI've got to say that you both are dismissing the Red Sox a little out of hand. Chicago simply is not a very good team right now. They won a ton of games early and have basically been .500 for a long time in a division that was very mediocre until Cleveland got hot for awhile. Check out Jose Contreras' lifetime ERA against the Red Sox. It's 11.30 in many starts. Garland has clearly run out of either gas or luck winning only 2 times in his last 10 starts. The back of their bullpen is a rookie who blew 2 saves in 4 games while entrusted to the closer role in September and old-timey Dustin Hermanson who has 34 saves and a bad back. Their offense is pedestrian and they have little to no post-season experience. The Red Sox tied for the division lead and had nearly the same record as last year. No they do not have Pedro but at this time last year Pedro was running on fumes and was relatively suspect. He only pitched on Pedro like game in the playoffs and that was against the Cardinals. I think Schilling will be better than most people think. He had really good stuff against the Yankees Sunday and was throwing hard. David Wells is a big game guy and was 15-7 this year. Matt Clement is suspect but has a career winning record against the White Sox. They have the best offense in baseball. Bottom line: The White Sox pitching is not as good as people think (padded by playing 57 games against the light hitting teams in their division) and will get overpowered by an offense that is very good, battle tested and maybe the best clutch hitting team in MLB. Red Sox in 4. Posted by: jim at October 4, 2005 12:00 PMCrank, Hate to say it but I think you may possibly get each of the first round wrong. Cardinals seem like the biggest lock. However, Carpenter slumped down the stretch. His ERA for last 4 starts was 9.14. If Peavy has a couple good starts this could be an upset pick. Sorry LargeBill, the Yankees starters have been doing well of late. Moose is a mystery, but Chacon and Wang have been lifesavers, not intimidated by a powerfully Red Sox lineup. Randy is rounding into a nice nasty form. They can quiet LAA's bats more than the Angels' rotation will quiet NY's. Posted by: rbj at October 4, 2005 1:16 PMInteresting take on the Angels by Matt Welch at Hardball Times. Five Untrue Things Youll Learn About the Angels this Week and a good breakdown of the Battle of Hosiery. Posted by: Mr Furious at October 4, 2005 2:29 PMAL Angels over Red Sox NL Houston over Atlanta Cards over Houston Series The Angels have an everyday line-up that matches the Yankees and Red Sox??? Are you kidding?? Take Vlad aside and who would start from the Angels for the Yankees? Even with the Yankees crappy centerfield situation Williams is better than Finley and that is the only spot that is even close. Ditto the Red Sox with Garrett "Gimpy" Anderson maybe getting the nod over also oft injured Nixon. The Angels do have the best pitching in the AL although I think they have some guys who go soft (Lackey, Washburn, Donnelly) when it really gets sticky. I think that series could go either way, will likely go 5 and is a coin flip. Red over White in 4 Houston over Atlanta in 4 Sox over Angels in 6 Sox over Cards in 5 Posted by: jim at October 4, 2005 3:53 PMWhatever was written earlier about Padres being an upset pick must have been written by someone using my nickname. Carpenter is fine. Posted by: LargeBill at October 4, 2005 7:10 PM14-2. I wish we would have scored another TD. Posted by: the wolf at October 5, 2005 10:54 AMHey wolf, awful cocky for a fan of team that has done nothing since...Funny, the Yankees beat the Red Sox by 12 runs in Game 3 last year and MLB would not let them use any of those excess runs the next 4 games. Posted by: jim at October 5, 2005 12:35 PMREDBIRDS WIN IT ALL AGAINST WHITE SOX IN 6! Posted by: dale at October 8, 2005 1:46 PMtime to do something for the braves white over red cards over pads white over halos white over stros in 6 Chicago White Sox 2005 World Series Champions Posted by: yo yo at October 12, 2005 2:26 PMDivision series are over so.... Angels beat the Sox in 7, but after last nights call anything could happen in that series Cardinals beat the Angels in six and Reggie Sanders will continue his hot streak to win World Series MVP! Enjoy the series guys. Posted by: SH drummer at October 13, 2005 2:43 PMWhite Sox over Red Sox in 4 Cards over Pads in 3 Angels over White Sox in 6 Cards over Angels in 6 or 7 Well, so much for the madirishman's take on White Sox pitching. Most of the other picks from everyone else were also very dismissive of the Pale Hose. Perhaps if you had been paying attention to this team in 2005, you would've been as offbase with your predictions. Sox fans are NOT surprised. The Red Sox and Angels were not only defeated by Chicago's team, but EMBARRASED. Posted by: BB at October 17, 2005 1:21 PMWell, most of these coments were wrong. Chicago has the greatest pitching in the A.L.- they go to the World Series. The Astros have the greatest pitching in the N.L. they go to the World Series. Proving once again that pitching wins in the playoffs. I am an Astros fan and I do beleive the Astros will win the World Series. They have too much veteran leadership: Clemensk, Pettite, Biggio and Bagwell probably have more experience in the playoffs than at least half of the White Sox team. Also, you know who had more runs in the Astros-Cards Series? Answer: The Astros. The Cards were pathetic besides Foolujs. The Astros may have had times when they had problems scoring runs during the season, but they have made up for it in the playoffs. And you know what, hardly anybody picked the Astros to even be in the World Series. People counted them out after 15-30. I said "Hello! there's still 117 games left!" Astros should win it all and Phil Garner should be Coach of the Year. Posted by: Andy New at October 21, 2005 12:37 PMhey. hey ,hey lets hear it for the real deal, Bobby its 1,2,3 your out, for it Bobby pitch em a 114 fast ball and break all records Posted by: myrongercken at October 26, 2005 12:47 PMSo much for the Astros experience huh? Say Hello the the World Champion Chicago White Sox! White over Red in 3 Who wouda thunk it? Posted by: Fab_5_Sox at April 26, 2006 3:08 AM
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