Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
June 16, 2006
BASEBALL: Making It Home

One of Jose Reyes' signature gifts is the ability to score runs once he is on base - despite his low to (this year) middling OBPs, Reyes always manages to score a bunch of runs. Last year, he nearly made history, narrowly missing becoming the first player since 1892 to score 100 runs with an OBP below .300.

But is Reyes really the best at scoring once he's on base? Turns out he's close, but no, at least this year. I took a look at the players who scored the most runs per time on base not due to home runs. I took a look at every player with 100 plate appearances through last night's action and ranked them by their runs scored (minus homers) per times on base (minus homers). To correct for the fact that some guys get into scoring position in the first place with their bats, I added to the times-on-base number (doubles)*(.33) (since a double gets you a third of the way from first to home) and (triples)*(.66). I'm sure there's a more scientific formula, and I think Baseball Prospectus used one in an article a few years ago, but I was looking for something I could run quickly.

Of course, a player's speed, aggressiveness and heads-up on the basepaths is only one of three variables in scoring runs: you also need to bat near the top of the lineup (you score more runs if you don't start a lot of innings with two outs) and bat ahead of good hitters. Players who have had at least 100 plate appearances as a leadoff man are listed in italics. As you'll see from the chart, fast guys, leadoff men and guys on good offenses tend to congregate at the top (Reed Johnson is #1 mainly because of the strength of the Toronto offense thus far, I suspect), and catchers and low-order hitters at the bottom (if you're wondering, the guy at the bottom is the Colorado Luis Gonzalez). Unsurprisingly, David DeJesus - recovering from injury and playing for a lousy offense - is near the bottom of the leadoff men, but I was surprised to see Gary Matthews jr. and Curtis Granderson, both guys who run reasonably well and bat ahead of power-laden offenses, ranked so low. You can see here some of the offsetting cost to leading off a slower but high-OBP guy like Youkilis or Jason Kendall.

PlayerScrAvg
Reed Johnson0.507
Tomas Perez0.500
Brad Wilkerson0.498
Nathan McLouth0.491
Hanley Ramirez0.488
Rickie Weeks0.477
Scott Podsednik0.470
Lew Ford0.468
Jay Payton0.464
Jimmy Rollins0.462
Rafael Furcal0.458
Tadahito Iguchi0.447
Joey Gathright0.447
Jose Reyes0.446
Neifi Perez0.444
Craig Monroe0.439
Christopher Duffy0.439
Jerry Hairston Jr.0.438
Jhonny Peralta0.432
Willy Taveras0.432
Chone Figgins0.430
Orlando Cabrera0.429
Corey Patterson0.429
Julio Lugo0.420
Kenny Lofton0.420
Russ Adams0.413
Endy Chavez0.412
Coco Crisp0.412
Yuniesky Betancourt0.409
Brandon Fahey0.409
Johnny Damon0.403
Jeremy Reed0.402
Chase Utley0.396
Alex Rodriguez0.395
John Rodriguez0.394
Joe Borchard0.394
Brandon Inge0.390
Steve Finley0.388
Willie Bloomquist0.385
Craig Counsell0.381
Grady Sizemore0.380
Carl Crawford0.380
Clint Barmes0.379
Luis Gonzalez0.379
Reggie Abercrombie0.378
Ichiro Suzuki0.376
Joshua Barfield0.373
Randy Winn0.373
Lance Niekro0.372
Bernie Williams0.371
Jeff DaVanon0.370
Omar Vizquel0.370
Bill Hall0.368
Troy Glaus0.366
Rondell White0.366
Jack Wilson0.362
Luis Matos0.362
Chipper Jones0.361
Scott Rolen0.360
Mike Cameron0.360
David Eckstein0.359
So Taguchi0.358
Juan Pierre0.357
Daniel Uggla0.356
Jamey Carroll0.355
Felipe Lopez0.353
Paul Lo Duca0.352
Nomar Garciaparra0.352
Luis Castillo0.352
Dave Roberts0.351
Hideki Matsui0.351
Reggie Sanders0.350
Mark Teahen0.350
Ben Broussard0.350
Miguel Tejada0.349
Freddy Sanchez0.349
Nick Swisher0.347
Mike Lamb0.347
Marcus Thames0.346
Carlos Beltran0.346
Chris Burke0.346
Jose Cruz0.344
Brian Anderson0.342
Derek Jeter0.342
Marcus Giles0.341
Jose Guillen0.339
Cory Sullivan0.338
Vinny Castilla0.338
Melvin Mora0.338
Jose Lopez0.337
Albert Pujols0.336
Mark Grudzielanek0.336
Brian Roberts0.336
Matthew Murton0.333
Melky Cabrera0.333
Mark Ellis0.331
Brandon Phillips0.330
Olmedo Saenz0.330
Mark DeRosa0.329
Tony Batista0.328
Kevin Millar0.327
Aaron Hill0.327
Todd Helton0.327
Ryan Freel0.325
Jason Michaels0.325
Marlon Byrd0.324
Torii Hunter0.324
Craig Biggio0.324
Jim Thome0.324
Jason Lane0.324
Travis Hafner0.324
Bobby Abreu0.323
Jason Varitek0.323
Omar Infante0.323
Javier Valentin0.323
Esteban German0.321
Alfonso Soriano0.321
Adrian Gonzalez0.320
Miguel Cabrera0.319
Juan Uribe0.318
Garrett Atkins0.318
Chad Tracy0.317
Alexis Rios0.317
Edgar Renteria0.317
Matt Holliday0.316
Russell Martin0.316
Nick Punto0.316
Kenji Johjima0.316
Ivan Rodriguez0.315
Kevin Youkilis0.312
Eric Byrnes0.312
Shannon Stewart0.311
Pedro Feliz0.311
Aaron Miles0.310
Gary Sheffield0.310
Juan Encarnacion0.310
Adam Dunn0.308
Jeff Kent0.307
Hank Blalock0.306
Shane Victorino0.305
Trot Nixon0.304
Aaron Rowand0.303
Robinson Cano0.302
Mike Cuddyer0.302
Phil Nevin0.300
Conor Jackson0.300
Victor Martinez0.299
Adam Kennedy0.297
Austin Kearns0.297
Rod Barajas0.296
Adam Everett0.295
Shawn Green0.295
Royce Clayton0.294
Ronnie Belliard0.294
Joe Crede0.293
Danny Ardoin0.293
Sean Casey0.293
Jose Bautista0.292
Milton Bradley0.291
Carlos Lee0.290
Wilson Betemit0.290
Mark Kotsay0.289
Mark Loretta0.288
Marco Scutaro0.287
Adam LaRoche0.286
Shea Hillenbrand0.285
Adrian Beltre0.285
Jose Vidro0.285
Tony Graffanino0.285
Johnny Estrada0.284
Aaron Boone0.284
Cliff Floyd0.284
Nick Johnson0.283
Bobby Crosby0.283
Nicholas Markakis0.282
Rich Aurilia0.282
Andruw Jones0.282
Brian Giles0.281
Carl Everett0.281
David DeJesus0.281
Curtis Granderson0.281
Andre Ethier0.280
J.D. Drew0.278
Hector Luna0.276
Magglio Ordonez0.276
Ryan Zimmerman0.276
Orlando Hudson0.274
Michael Young0.274
Kazuo Matsui0.273
Jose Castillo0.271
Raul Ibanez0.270
Jeff Francoeur0.269
Moises Alou0.269
Ray Durham0.267
Mike Lowell0.267
Joe Mauer0.266
Alex Gonzalez0.266
Edwin Encarnacion0.266
Xavier Nady0.266
Mark Teixeira0.265
Javy Lopez0.264
Todd Walker0.264
Gary Matthews Jr.0.262
Carlos Guillen0.262
David Wright0.261
Paul Konerko0.261
Lyle Overbay0.261
Damon Hollins0.259
Jim Edmonds0.258
Jose Molina0.258
Craig Wilson0.258
Ryan Langerhans0.258
Jason Giambi0.257
Aubrey Huff0.257
Carlos Delgado0.257
Andy Phillips0.256
Aramis Ramirez0.256
Casey Blake0.255
Jermaine Dye0.251
Willy Aybar0.250
David Bell0.250
Morgan Ensberg0.249
Chris Shelton0.248
Doug Mientkiewicz0.247
Ronny Cedeno0.247
Miguel Olivo0.247
John Buck0.244
Jonny Gomes0.243
Preston Wilson0.243
Eric Chavez0.243
David Ortiz0.242
Emil Brown0.242
Barry Bonds0.241
Brady Clark0.240
Scott Hatteberg0.240
Jason Bay0.240
Angel Berroa0.238
Juan Rivera0.236
Prince Fielder0.235
Mark Sweeney0.233
Michael Barrett0.231
A.J. Pierzynski0.231
Justin Morneau0.231
Vladimir Guerrero0.230
Dan Johnson0.230
Ben Molina0.230
Travis Lee0.229
Khalil Greene0.229
Placido Polanco0.228
Alex Cintron0.227
Vernon Wells0.225
Jorge Cantu0.224
Ronny Paulino0.223
Mark Bellhorn0.222
Kevin Mench0.221
Scott Spiezio0.221
Brian McCann0.220
Matt Diaz0.216
Jeromy Burnitz0.213
James Hardy0.212
Jacque Jones0.212
Jose Valentin0.211
Jay Gibbons0.211
Tim Salmon0.210
Lance Berkman0.210
Damion Easley0.209
Jeff Conine0.209
Matt Stairs0.206
Geoff Jenkins0.205
Juan Castro0.205
Bill Mueller0.203
Ty Wigginton0.203
Manny Ramirez0.203
Brad Ausmus0.198
Richie Sexson0.196
Ryan Howard0.194
Jason Kendall0.193
Shane Costa0.191
Frank Catalanotto0.190
Frank Thomas0.190
Ramon Hernandez0.186
Damian Miller0.185
Ken Griffey Jr.0.183
Jorge Posada0.182
Rob Mackowiak0.180
Brad Hawpe0.180
Wily Mo Pena0.178
Pat Burrell0.174
Yadier Molina0.169
Garret Anderson0.168
Gregg Zaun0.167
Mike Jacobs0.165
Jason LaRue0.162
Corey Koskie0.161
Josh Willingham0.148
Mike Matheny0.147
Brian Schneider0.142
Sal Fasano0.140
Mike Piazza0.130
Toby Hall0.116
Luis Gonzalez0.104
Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:45 PM | Baseball 2006 | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Interesting look at things...I had this sort of thing in mind a few days ago. It just goes to show you that Jimmy Rollins needs to get on base much much much more.

Posted by: Tom G at June 20, 2006 9:48 PM
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