Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
February 4, 2008
POLITICS: The Long Battle

Bob Novak explains how the delegate-distribution process makes it more likely that the Democrats will have a drawn-out primary battle. Of course, there is still the possibility that one or the other candidate - especially Obama, who presumably hopes to run again if he doesn't get the nomination - would be pressured by party elders, including his or her own supporters, to drop out and make nice at some point for the good of the party. For now, though, it is starting to seem as if the Republicans might really settle on a nominee a month or more before the Democrats, and that could be a major advantage, especially given (1) the Democrats' fundraising prowess this cycle compared to McCain's empty pockets and (2) the race/gender edge to the Democratic race, which is especially unlikely to heal well if Obama loses the nomination on the most undemocratic, smoke-filled-room bases imaginable (superdelegate alliances with Hillary, credential fights over Michigan and Florida). All that's missing is a recount.

If there's one part of the campaign that John McCain should be uniquely well-positioned for, it's spending a month shaking his head in sorrow at the Democratic contenders throwing mud at each other while he stays blissfully above the fray.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:09 PM | Politics 2008 | Comments (3) | TrackBack (0)

I would have agreed about Obama dropping out a few months ago. Not now. I think what he realizes is that, HE can become the party leadership. We've talked about this before. You want to be president, really expect it, you don't take a back seat.

Posted by: Daryl Rosenblatt at February 4, 2008 7:58 PM

Obama won't drop out if he's winning, of course. But he will come under a lot of pressure if Hillary takes even a slight lead tomorrow, and sustains it through several other primaries.

Posted by: Jerry at February 4, 2008 8:35 PM

She'll cheat and send her minions out with dirt and pressure superdelegates with FBI dossiers and anything else it takes to win. Obama's supporters will have the nomination swiped right out from under them.

And they will eat it, like it and run over a puppy to go vote for her in the general. Why? Because McCain, the good Republican who they "could actually support and who the Right is just stupid not to get behind", is "just evil".

Hilarious. I'mma get me some popcorn and watch.

Posted by: spongeworthy at February 5, 2008 9:45 AM
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