Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
March 22, 2010
BASEBALL: The Top Ten (Twelve, Actually)

Continuing my warmup posts on Established Win Shares Levels, since I have kept you all waiting for the team previews, here's how the method, with the updated 2010 age adjustments, values the top 10 players (actually twelve, as I'm listing the guys who are essentially tied at 26 EWSL) in the game in terms of established performance level adjusted by age. EWSL is explained here. Chart below the fold.

Name200720082009Raw EWSLAgePosTeamDivAge%EWSL
Hanley Ramirez2732343226SSFLANLE1.11836
Prince Fielder27233630261BMILNLC1.11834
Ryan Braun2223362926OFMILNLC1.11833
Albert Pujols32343936301BSTLNLC0.90333
Joe Mauer2130323027CMINALC1.04531
Adrian Gonzalez25243429281BSDNLW1.01930
Justin Upton18191222OFAZNLW1.99229
Evan Longoria192418243BTBALE1.27428
Dustin Pedroia18262424262BBOSALE1.11826
Matt Kemp1019262125OFLANLW1.24426
Chase Utley28303231312BPHINLE0.84426
David Wright34272025273BNYMNLE1.04526

Note that two of these guys, Upton and Longoria, are rated based on two rather than three years' worth of playing time. Upton in particular is given a heavy dose of high expectations based on historic growth rates for players his age, but of course some of that is due to the fact that guys his age are often transitioning from half-season rookie seasons to full-time jobs.

As usual, bear in mind as well that the age adjustments are blanket; the system treats Albert Pujols and Prince Fielder as typical of their ages, regardless of body type, etc. That said, if this isn't actually a list of the game's 12 most valuable players to have entering the 2010 season, it's probably not that far off.

If you're wondering, Felix Hernandez and Zack Greinke are the only pitchers rated at 20 EWSL or greater, while the top-rated reliever is Joakim Soria.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:05 PM | Baseball 2010 • | Baseball Studies | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
Site Meter 250wde_2004WeblogAwards_BestSports.jpg