Baseball Crank
Covering the Front and Back Pages of the Newspaper
September 14, 2011
POLITICS: The Broader Meaning of NY-9

Last night's victory for Republican Bob Turner in NY's 9th Congressional District was not as resounding as the 22-point blowout in Nevada's 2d District, a district that is much more likely to play a role in contested Presidential and Senate races next year. And it shouldn't be oversold, for some of the reasons Nate Silver identifies. But Sean Trende's analysis is nonetheless a must-read regarding the broader trends it represents.

Also on a demographic note, this Atlantic article (aside from the error of forgetting - as I noted in the comments - that Rick Perry's 2006 race was not his most recent election) is a good roundup of why Perry is the GOP candidate who offers the best hope of capturing a competitive share of the Hispanic vote, as he has traditionally done in Texas.

UPDATE: Closing comments due to a spambot invasion, which tends to happen when the blog isn't updated frequently enough.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 PM | Politics 2011 • | Politics 2012 • | Poll Analysis | Comments (5) | TrackBack (0)

Perry/Rubio, Perry/Martinez-you are looking at a 40 state GOP blowout

Posted by: dch at September 15, 2011 12:27 PM

Sometimes there is no meaning. Except, as with the Brown case in Massachusettes, never take a vote for granted. You want to win, you campaign from day one until election day. The best case is in the funniest movie too few people ever saw: The Distinguished Gentleman. Vote for Jeff Johnson. The name you know.

Posted by: Daryl at September 15, 2011 8:34 PM

The tidal wave of anti-liberal/progressive ideas is coming. I think the Bamster will decide not to run for re-election because he could not handle losing.

Posted by: Lee at September 17, 2011 8:38 AM

Certainly possible. LBJ did it, and there were few more politically savvy (or more ruthless, he made Nixon look gentle). But Lee, I don't see a tidal wave. I see a ripple where most people are sick and tired of all of this shit. Next to Congress, Obama is the most popular person in the country. Of course, next to Congress, Hannibal Lechter is loved.

Posted by: Daryl at September 17, 2011 9:51 AM

Thanks for posting this! We were all over this on Common Cents as well...

Common Cents

Posted by: Steve at September 17, 2011 4:08 PM
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