Baseball Crank
"It gets late early around here." - Yogi Berra
March 25, 2016
POLITICS: Why Did Almost Nobody See The Trade Issue Coming Before Trump?

NRO: Why Did Almost Nobody See The Trade Issue Coming Before Trump?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 24, 2016
POLITICS: Can Donald Trump or Ted Cruz Beat Hillary Clinton? A New National Poll May Surprise You

RS: Can Donald Trump or Ted Cruz Beat Hillary Clinton? A New National Poll May Surprise You

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:24 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 18, 2016
POLITICS: Mitt Romney: I'm Voting For Ted Cruz. You Should Too.

RS: Mitt Romney: I'm Voting For Ted Cruz. You Should Too.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:23 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 17, 2016
POLITICS: It Is Time To Grow Up And Unite Cruz And Rubio Supporters Behind Ted Cruz

RS: It Is Time To Grow Up And Unite Cruz And Rubio Supporters Behind Ted Cruz

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:22 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Ted Cruz or Bust: Armageddon Tuesday By The Numbers

RS: Ted Cruz or Bust: Armageddon Tuesday By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:21 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 15, 2016
POLITICS: This Is Not 1980, And Donald Trump Is Not Ronald Reagan

RS: This Is Not 1980, And Donald Trump Is Not Ronald Reagan

TrumpCarter

Every piece of evidence we have about the 2016 general election and the world around us points in the same direction: if nominated, Donald Trump would lose, and likely lose badly. The fact that Trump has defied expectations in the primary and survived numerous incidents (seemingly almost daily) that would end any other political career has given pundits and analysts an almost superstitious, gunshy awe of predicting failure for him - thus the "lol nothing matters" response you often get when you discuss both Trump's obvious, glaring weaknesses and his pitiably weak standing in the polls. But the one straw commonly grasped by Trump supporters when confronted by the evidence is Gallup's polling from early 1980 showing that Ronald Reagan was some 30 points behind Jimmy Carter, who of course he went on to demolish in the fall.

The Gallup 1980 polls are a weak analogy, for several reasons.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:20 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 9, 2016
POLITICS: It Is Time For Marco Rubio To Join Ted Cruz For The Benefit Of Marco Rubio

RS: It Is Time For Marco Rubio To Join Ted Cruz For The Benefit Of Marco Rubio

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 7, 2016
POLITICS: Donald Trump Is A Cowardly Appeaser Who Got Bullied By The Mob

RS: Donald Trump Is A Cowardly Appeaser Who Got Bullied By The Mob

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 5, 2016
POLITICS: Don't Overlook The Importance Of This Weekend's Voting

RS: Don't Overlook The Importance Of This Weekend's Voting

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:17 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 3, 2016
POLITICS: Marco Rubio's Path To Victory After Super Tuesday, By The Numbers

RS: Marco Rubio's Path To Victory After Super Tuesday, By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Will John Kasich Criticize Donald Trump Tonight or Run Interference for Him?

NRO: Will John Kasich Criticize Donald Trump Tonight or Run Interference for Him?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:10 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 1, 2016
POLITICS: New CNN Poll: Trump Loses To Hillary, Rubio & Cruz Would Win

RS: New CNN Poll: Trump Loses To Hillary, Rubio & Cruz Would Win

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: A Vote For Trump is a Vote For Hillary Clinton: Why Trump Is A Sure Loser

RS: A Vote For Trump is a Vote For Hillary Clinton: Why Trump Is A Sure Loser

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:15 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere