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Politics 2005 Archives

December 31, 2005
POLITICS: Renaming Albany "Trump City"?

If you missed it yesterday, the Daily News is floating the rumor - backed, apparently, by a tantalizing quote from State Senate Republican leader Joseph Bruno - that Donald Trump is thinking of running for governor as a Republican. The News is pushing this story again today. Random thoughts:

*Is the NY GOP this desperate? Why, yes, in fact, they are. I haven't followed the travails of Bill Weld lately, but I'm not feeling very optimistic about him at this stage.

*Would I rather have Trump as my governor than Eliot Spitzer? Yes, but that's hardly saying much.

*Trump does have some obvious selling points. He'd be self-financing. He understands business, which makes an effective contrast to the business-hating Spitzer. He knows how to get things done, and likely would work better and less confrontationally with the Legislature than celebrity governors like Schwarzenegger and Ventura have. He'd finally get the Trade Center site working.

*I have neither the time nor the energy here to recount the downsides of Trump as a public official (or as a campaigner), but let's just say there's no shortage of those, either. And he'd be only the most nominal of Republicans, even compared to Weld.

*The NY tabloids could not invent a better candidate for the purpose of selling newspapers.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:32 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
December 28, 2005
POLITICS: Donkeys in a Nutshell

Dave Barry's political humor, like the rest of his humor, is always hilarious and often true as well, which is just one of many reasons why news that his weekly columns won't be returning is too bad. Barry's a libertarian, which explains why he's able to consistently target both sides of the partisan aisle. Anyway, there's one line in the first segment of his 2005 in review column (which has plenty of laughs at Bush's expense as well) that captures the Democrats in a nutshell:

In a strongly worded rebuttal, angry congressional Democrats state that, because of a scheduling mixup, they missed the President's speech, but whatever he said, they totally disagree with it, and if they once voted in favor of it, they did so only because the President lied to them.
Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:02 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
December 22, 2005
POLITICS: One Penny At A Time

*Jon Henke calls for Line-Item Budgeting - not just a line-item veto by the president, but forcing Congress to vote on each expenditure. More here. There would obviously be some practical hurdles: how do you decide what is a separate item? For example, can the Army budget include tanks and guns in the same item? One could see how even the hardiest advocate of creating obstacles to government spending might blanch at this if it's not carefully crafted, even leaving aside the practical poilitical obstacles to either (1) amending the constitution to require this or (2) getting our legislators to agree to it, to the detriment of their own influence.

A similar problem besets two similar ideas I keep coming back to. One is the idea of some sort of prohibition on items of spending and taxation that are, in effect, special-interest legislation. I do think you could, if you were writing this all from scratch, devise a fairly clear test for expenditures and tax breaks that do not benefit the general public, and perhaps even use the courts to enforce that line. But there would still be problems in policing the marginal cases.

Similarly, my other idea, which would require a narrow exception for certain critical national security functions: prohibit the federal government from sending money to state and local governments, or from imposing most mandates on them. Each governmental entity should raise through taxation whatever it needs, and no more than it can justify to the voters in its own jurisdiction.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:06 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
December 12, 2005
POLITICS/LAW: Same Sex Marriage and Children

Last Thursday, the New York Appellate Division, First Department - the intermediate appellate court in Manhattan - upheld, against constitutional challenge, the New York Domestic Relations Law's extension of marriage only to opposite-sex couples. (H/T: Althouse). In so doing, it touched on some arguments on the issue that I've been thinking about for some time now.

In particular, our democratic polity has a rational basis for preferentially allocating scarce resources to benefit opposite-sex rather than same-sex married couples to promote two vital interests: promoting the population growth needed to sustain a healthy society and discouraging illegitimacy and abortion.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:41 AM | Law 2005 • | Politics 2005 | Comments (17) | TrackBack (0)
POLITICS: The Cost of Abortion

A new study from the University of Oslo compared women who miscarry and women who have abortions:

The Oslo team found that, after 10 days, 47.5% of women who had miscarried suffered from some degree of mental distress compared with 30% of the abortion group.

The proportion of women who had a miscarriage suffering distress decreased during the study period, to 22.5% at six months and to just 2.6% at two years and five years.

But among the abortion group 25.7% were still experiencing distress after six months, and 20% at five years.

The researchers also said that women who had an abortion had to make an effort to avoid thinking about the event.

Naturally, the article reporting the study, from the BBC, includes quotes from representatives of the British abortion industry denying any ill effects from their product. As you would expect the industry to say. But avoidance of the truth requires a sustained commitment to avoiding empirical study of the facts.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:20 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (7) | TrackBack (0)
December 2, 2005
POLITICS: The Bush Tax Cuts, Illustrated

This handy chart from the Treasury Department illustrates the recovery in employment since the 2003 tax cuts - which, unlike the original 2001 cuts, were phased in imemdiately and thus could immediately affect incentives - quite nicely.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:29 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (6) | TrackBack (0)
November 27, 2005
POLITICS: The Other Novak

This doesn't sound good for Karl Rove:

Viveca Novak, a reporter in Time's Washington bureau, is cooperating with Special Counsel Patrick Fitzgerald, who is investigating the leak of CIA operative Valerie Plame's identity in 2003, the magazine reported in its Dec. 5 issue.

Novak specifically has been asked to testify under oath about conversations she had with Rove attorney Robert Luskin starting in May 2004, the magazine reported.

It can't be good news that the special prosecutor is looking at things done and said after the investigation began, although of course there are many explanations for why, any number of which end without anyone else getting indicted.

Is there anybody reporting on this story who isn't part of the story? Next we'll hear that Kaus and Maguire have testified.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:35 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
November 16, 2005
POLITICS: Rove on the Courts

A rare speech by Karl Rove, to the Federalist Society on the topic of the courts. Rove notes a familiar refrain in recounting the battle over the Alabama state courts:

It began in 1994, when Republican Perry Hooper challenged sitting chief justice and trial lawyer-favorite Sonny Hornsby. Hooper pulled off a stunning upset. Outspent, outworked, he won by 262 votes out of over 1.2 million votes cast. And then, the day after the election, several thousand absentee ballots mysteriously surfaced, none of them witnessed nor notarized, as required by Alabama law, and Sonny Hornsby tried to have them counted. It took a year of court battles before Hooper was finally seated.
Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:26 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
November 9, 2005
POLITICS: Status Quo 6, Reform 0

At least among the six campaigns I paid any attention to yesterday - the Governor's races in NJ and Virginia, the Mayor's races in NY City and Detroit, and the referendum packages in California and Ohio - if there's any lesson to be drawn from yesterday's votes, it's one that conflicts with the apparent public mood: the voters chose the status quo and rejected calls for reform:

1. Incumbents and incumbent parties won. Virginia and NJ stayed in the same party hands. Incumbents were re-elected in NYC and Detroit.

2. Packages of reform-minded referenda, anchored by anti-gerrymandering efforts, were defeated in Ohio and California.

3. Longstanding concerns about corruption in the state-level New Jersey and California Democratic parties, the state-level Ohio GOP and the local government in Detroit were brushed aside by the voters. No wake-up calls were sent, except perhaps to the Virginia GOP to offer a choice, not an echo.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:28 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (5) | TrackBack (0)
POLITICS: Ackerman Ducks The Question

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You may recall my effort, in connection with the "porkbusters" campaign, to get my Congressman, Gary Ackerman, to commit to give back local pork-barrel transportation spending (including money for parking lots, sidewalks, bike racks and public parks in Queens) to help offset the cost of Hurricane Katrina. Well, yesterday I received his response, which is set forth in full in the extended entry. As you can see, Ackerman fails to even acknowledge the question; his response includes not a word about transportation funding. Instead, he scrolls through the usual hot buttons - Iraq, tax cuts, no-bid contracts, etc. - and appears to oppose any effort to cut any spending of any kind:

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Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:48 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (7) | TrackBack (0)
October 28, 2005
POLITICS: The Hidden Hand

This is a bit too much of a political inside joke to post under a "baseball" heading, but the Weekly Standard sees the hidden influence of Leo Strauss and his secretive cabal in Ozzie Guillen's White Sox.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:24 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (1)
October 23, 2005
POLITICS: Trying to Hit a 5-Run Homer

Mickey Kaus notes that it is the wrong approach for Democrats, should there be indictments in the Valerie Plame case, to try to use the case to re-argue the entire case for war in Iraq rather than just stick to the basic charge of jeopardizing the CIA:

Shouldn't it be a general premise of Democratic politics that it's reality-based and not spin-based? And while Dems might get a majority of Americans to agree that the Iraq War was a bad move, they'd get about 95% to agree that compromising covert American agents is a bad move. Why not make the latter the issue?

It's not just that this would be a mistake, but that it's the exact same mistake they've made before: most notably in 1987 when the Democrats discovered the Reagan Administration doing something politically explosive and contrary to its stated principles - trading arms to Iran for hostages - and frittered away all the political benefits of this revelation by instead staging a huge fight over the Nicaraguan side of the Iran-Contra scandal, which to most of the general public amounted to the allegation that Reagan's people were going too far in fighting Communism in the Western Hemisphere. This was, of course, an issue on which the Dems had been whupped by Reagan in the past, and they were so eager to settle the score that they wound up getting a lot less mileage out of the scandal than they probably should have.

We may see a related mistake brewing in the Harriet Miers hearings - there have been rumblings that the hearings will turn into a rehash of the Ben Barnes/National Guard story, a mistake the Democrats just can't stop making.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:01 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (7) | TrackBack (0)
October 20, 2005
POLITICS: Join The Swarm

For the record, I'm, with RedState, DailyKos and the rest in supporting the Coburn Amendment.

If there's enough of us, Patty Murray can't threaten us all.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:47 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
October 19, 2005
POLITICS: The Legend of Dagger Chuck

The New York Sun mocks Chuck Schumer for overuse of a metaphor:

No sooner had [former] Senators [Connie] Mack and [John] Breaux unleashed their ideas on making the federal tax code more simple and fair than Senator Schumer unsheathed his rusty old dagger, describing the idea of eliminating the federal deduction for state and local taxes as "a dagger to the heart of the people of New York." Voters might be inclined to listen -- except for the fact that Mr. Schumer sees a dagger virtually everywhere he looks.

A 2003 plan for flexible work schedules instead of overtime? "A dagger to the heart of the middle class," Mr. Schumer said, according to the Associated Press. A 2002 plan by federal regulators to urge Wall Street firms to establish backup facilities outside New York City? A "dagger pointed at the heart of New York," Mr. Schumer said, according to the Daily News. High gas prices? "A dagger at the heart of our economy," Mr. Schumer said in 2000, according to the New York Times. A unilateral declaration of Palestinian statehood would be "a dagger through the heart of the peace process," Mr. Schumer said in 2000, according to the Agence France Presse.

Hate crimes "put a dagger in the heart of what America is all about," Mr. Schumer said in 1999, according to USA Today. A proposal to change the federal transportation funding formula was "a dagger pointed at" New York and California, Mr. Schumer said in 1999, according to the Washington Post. School vouchers? "Daggers that plunge into the heart of what is the American way," Mr. Schumer said in May 1999, according to the New York Post. Cuts in federal student aid? "A dagger to New York's college students," Mr. Schumer told Newsday in 1995.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but Mr. Schumer sees daggers more often than a four-eyed knife thrower looking through a kaleidoscope.

(Emphasis added). Via Taranto.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:19 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (3) | TrackBack (0)
October 15, 2005
POLITICS: Don't Drink The Water

Responding to Hugh Hewitt's taunts about "Evian Flu" among conservative pundits, Ramesh Ponnuru writes:

[M]y impression is that the proportion of our population that consumes either wine or brie, or both together, has gone up since [1997] . . . Hasn't the insult lost its bite? I thought of this when I read a crack against elites that mentioned bottled water. It sure seems as though drinking bottled water has ceased to be an elite activity. Back in 1997, conservatives could mock latte towns--but you can find latte in any town you're in nowadays. Conclusion: We need some new put-downs. (Confession: I like brie and wine, have occasionally had a latte, and buy bottled water for my family--but that last point reflects the high lead content in D.C. water rather than a preference on my part.)

At least as to the bottled water thing, Ramesh is right on. Most of us have an instinctive belief that paying good money for water in a bottle is ridiculous. And yet, if you live in a city like New York or Washington (or Worcester, Mass., where I went to college and where the tap water was brown), where drinking the tap water is not a sane option, bottled water has become a necessity - and all the moreso after September 11 and especially after Katrina, when bottled water has become an emblem of disaster preparedness.

(As for wine, I believe recent surveys have shown that Americans as a whole now drink more wine than beer.)

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:00 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (10) | TrackBack (0)
October 10, 2005
POLITICS: The Stealth Strategy

I should have linked to this when it ran, but if you are pondering President Bush's objectives in nominating a Supreme Court Justice, you should definitely read the analysis offered by the always-incisive Jay Cost back in July.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:59 PM | Politics 2005 | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
October 2, 2005
POLITICS: Meeting His Targets

Heh.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:22 AM | Politics 2005 | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
POLITICS: Ackerman's Pork

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Getting back to the original reason I was checking the