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Writings Elsewhere Archives

February 28, 2019
POLITICS/HISTORY: How Often Is One State Decisive in the Electoral College?

NRO: How Often Is One State Decisive in the Electoral College?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | History • | Politics 2019 • | Politics 2020 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 26, 2019
HISTORY: Rethinking President Grant (Part Two)

NRO: Rethinking President Grant (Part Two)

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
February 18, 2019
HISTORY: Rethinking President Grant (Part One)

NRO: Rethinking President Grant (Part One)

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
February 11, 2019
POLITICS: Why It Matters If Amy Klobuchar Is An Abusive Boss

NRO: Why It Matters If Amy Klobuchar Is An Abusive Boss

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:56 PM | Law 2019 • | Politics 2019 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 8, 2019
BASEBALL: Frank Robinson, R.I.P.

NRO: Frank Robinson, R.I.P.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Baseball Columns • | Writings Elsewhere
February 5, 2019
POLITICS: The Federal Diner: The Case Against a National Minimum Wage

NRO: The Federal Diner: The Case Against a National Minimum Wage

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2019 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 21, 2019
POLITICS: Why We Panic about Immigration

NRO: Why We Panic about Immigration

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:43 PM | Politics 2019 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 18, 2019
POLITICS: Would It Make Sense For Larry Hogan to Primary Trump?

NRO: Would It Make Sense For Larry Hogan to Primary Trump?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:39 PM | Politics 2019 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 4, 2019
POLITICS: Why Does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Get So Much Attention From The Right?

NRO: Why Does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Get So Much Attention From The Right?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:33 PM | Politics 2019 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 2, 2019
POLITICS: Boycotts Are Not the Free Market

NRO: Boycotts Are Not the Free Market

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:04 PM | Politics 2019 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 21, 2018
POLITICS: Whom Do You Want on Your Side When Trump Is Gone?

NRO: Whom Do You Want on Your Side When Trump Is Gone?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 18, 2018
POLITICS: How the Polls Broke at the End

NRO: How the Polls Broke at the End

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
November 23, 2018
POLITICS: History Doesn't Favor Republicans Recovering the House under Trump

NRO: History Doesn't Favor Republicans Recovering the House under Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | History • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 7, 2018
POLITICS: 2018: Normalcy's Revenge

NRO: 2018: Normalcy's Revenge

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:28 PM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
November 6, 2018
POLITICS: Breaking Down the Polls at the End

NRO: Breaking Down the Polls at the End

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:48 PM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
October 31, 2018
POLITICS: How Are the Senate Races Breaking Now?

NRO: How Are the Senate Races Breaking Now?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
October 19, 2018
POLITICS: How Will the Governors' Races Break?

NRO: How Will the Governors' Races Break?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:51 PM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
October 16, 2018
POLITICS: How Will the Senate Races Break?

NRO: How Will the Senate Races Break?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:58 AM | Politics 2018 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
September 26, 2018
HISTORY: America's Biggest Battle, 100 Years On

NRO: America's Biggest Battle, 100 Years On

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:06 AM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
September 20, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: In Evaluating Credibility, the Signs Point in Brett Kavanaugh's Favor

NRO: In Evaluating Credibility, the Signs Point in Brett Kavanaugh's Favor

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 11, 2018
WAR: The Afghanistan War at 17

NRO: The Afghanistan War at 17

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:53 PM | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 9, 2018
LAW/POLITICS/HISTORY: Constitutional Originalism Requires Birthright Citizenship

NRO: Constitutional Originalism Requires Birthright Citizenship

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:18 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 6, 2018
POLITICS: The Bernie Sanders Big Brother Act of 2018

NRO: The Bernie Sanders Big Brother Act of 2018

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:44 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 29, 2018
POLITICS: In Replacing John McCain, Doug Ducey Should Look to the Future

NRO: In Replacing John McCain, Doug Ducey Should Look to the Future

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:45 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 17, 2018
POP CULTURE: Aretha Franklin, an American Original

NRO: Aretha Franklin, an American Original

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
August 9, 2018
HISTORY: Understanding Hiroshima and Nagasaki, 73 Years Later

NRO: Understanding Hiroshima and Nagasaki, 73 Years Later

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:11 AM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
July 23, 2018
WAR/POLITICS: Trump Goes Nuclear again on Twitter, but Who Believes Him Now?

NRO: Trump Goes Nuclear again on Twitter, but Who Believes Him Now?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:19 PM | Politics 2018 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 21, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Democratic Desperation on Kavanaugh is Showing

NRO: Democratic Desperation on Kavanaugh is Showing

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:35 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 13, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Judge Kavanaugh on Lying To Federal Agents

NRO: Judge Kavanaugh on Lying To Federal Agents

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:55 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 12, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Judge Kavanaugh on Battered Women

NRO: Judge Kavanaugh on Battered Women

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:33 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
LAW/POLITICS/HISTORY: Revenge for Merrick Garland?

LA Times: Revenge for Merrick Garland? Democrats don't have history on their side

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:00 AM | History • | In Print • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 10, 2018
LAW/POLITICS/HISTORY: Brett Kavanaugh Should Get a Vote Before the Midterm Elections

NRO: Brett Kavanaugh Should Get a Vote Before the Midterm Elections

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 3, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: Early Thoughts on The Supreme Court and the Midterms

NRO: Early Thoughts on The Supreme Court and the Midterms

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:47 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 26, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Trump's Revised Travel Ban Survives

NRO: Trump's Revised Travel Ban Survives

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:36 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 25, 2018
POLITICS: Don't Throw the Republicans Out: A Response to George Will

NRO: Don't Throw the Republicans Out: A Response to George Will

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:22 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/BUSINESS: Businesses Still Don't Know The Rules For Moral Judgment

NRO: Businesses Still Don't Know The Rules For Moral Judgment

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:54 PM | Business • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 21, 2018
POLITICS: The Quiet Republican Check on Trump

NRO: The Quiet Republican Check on Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:42 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 18, 2018
RELIGION/POLITICS: Romans 13 and the Thorny Moral Questions Posed by Illegal Immigration

NRO: Romans 13 and the Thorny Moral Questions Posed by Illegal Immigration

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:14 PM | Politics 2018 • | Religion • | Writings Elsewhere
June 15, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: The FBI Inspector General Report Directly Criticized President Obama

NRO: The FBI Inspector General Report Directly Criticized President Obama

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:22 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 11, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: The Supreme Court's Narrow Decision on Purging Voter Rolls

NRO: The Supreme Court's Narrow Decision on Purging Voter Rolls

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:59 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 4, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Masterpiece Cakeshop Ruling Is a Win for Religious Freedom, But . . .

NRO: Masterpiece Cakeshop Ruling Is a Win for Religious Freedom, But . . .

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:31 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 3, 2018
BLOG: Reunions and the Power of Nostalgia

NRO: Reunions and the Power of Nostalgia

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:13 PM | Blog 2006-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
May 30, 2018
POLITICS: The Missouri GOP Just Held One of Its Own Accountable

NRO: The Missouri GOP Just Held One of Its Own Accountable

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:14 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 25, 2018
FOOTBALL/POLITICS: The NFL's Anthem-Protest Rule Is Not a Threat to Free Speech

NRO: The NFL's Anthem-Protest Rule Is Not a Threat to Free Speech

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:49 PM | Football • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 23, 2018
POLITICS: The Scarlet Letter Is Back. It Never Really Went Away.

NRO: The Scarlet Letter Is Back. It Never Really Went Away.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:07 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 22, 2018
POLITICS: How Many Murders Is a National Crisis?

NRO: How Many Murders Is a National Crisis?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:26 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 21, 2018
POLITICS/RELIGION/HISTORY: The Christian America Paradox

NRO: The Christian America Paradox

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:35 AM | History • | Politics 2018 • | Religion • | Writings Elsewhere
May 19, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: Jeff Sessions Is Doing More Than Thoughts and Prayers

NRO: Jeff Sessions Is Doing More Than Thoughts and Prayers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:05 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 16, 2018
WAR: The Unfixable Tragedy of Gaza

NRO: The Unfixable Tragedy of Gaza

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:15 PM | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 15, 2018
POLITICS: Kirsten Gillibrand's Empty Gender Rhetoric

NRO: Kirsten Gillibrand's Empty Gender Rhetoric

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:59 PM | Politics 2018 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 11, 2018
BASEBALL: The Misery of the Mets fan

NY POST: The misery of the Mets fan (in this morning's paper)

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Baseball 2012-Present • | In Print • | Writings Elsewhere
May 7, 2018
POLITICS: Eric Schneiderman Goes Down

NRO: Eric Schneiderman Goes Down

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:57 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Ronan Farrow's Moment

NRO: Ronan Farrow's Moment

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:58 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 5, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: Repeal The Logan Act

NRO: Repeal The Logan Act

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:11 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 27, 2018
POLITICS: The End of an Era at RedState

NRO: The End of an Era at RedState

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:48 AM | Blog 2006-Present • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 23, 2018
POLITICS: Maybe the British Royal Family Isn't So Silly After All

NRO: Maybe the British Royal Family Isn't So Silly After All

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:50 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 18, 2018
POLITICS: RIP Barbara Bush, 1925-2018

NRO: RIP Barbara Bush, 1925-2018

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:55 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 13, 2018
WAR/POLITICS: Donald Trump At War: A Conventional American Response to Syria

NRO: Donald Trump At War: A Conventional American Response to Syria

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:50 PM | Politics 2018 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 11, 2018
POLITICS: Paul Ryan's Missed Opportunities on Spending

NRO: Paul Ryan's Missed Opportunities on Spending

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:27 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 10, 2018
POLITICS: Why Failed National Political Candidates Should Go Home

NRO: Why Failed National Political Candidates Should Go Home

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:53 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 5, 2018
POLITICS: How Never Trump Can Avoid Delusion

NRO: How Never Trump Can Avoid Delusion

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2018 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 3, 2018
POLITICS: Realism, Not Delusion, about Trump and the Conservative Movement

NRO: Realism, Not Delusion, about Trump and the Conservative Movement

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:03 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 2, 2018
POLITICS: There's No Ban on Studying Gun Violence

NRO: There's No Ban on Studying Gun Violence

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 28, 2018
LAW/POLITICS: The Supreme Court Proves It Didn't Mean What It Said in King v. Burwell

NRO: The Supreme Court Proves It Didn't Mean What It Said in King v. Burwell

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 21, 2018
POLITICS: How a Pro-Life Democrat Drew an Illinois Nazi as His Opponent

NRO: How a Pro-Life Democrat Drew an Illinois Nazi as His Opponent

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:09 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 12, 2018
POP CULTURE/WAR: Wakanda Has the Right's Foreign-Policy Debate

NRO: Wakanda Has the Right's Foreign-Policy Debate

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:43 AM | Pop Culture • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 1, 2018
POLITICS: Let's Have Some Common Sense on Arming Teachers

NRO: Let's Have Some Common Sense on Arming Teachers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:47 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 26, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: A More Modest Proposal on Young Men and Guns

NRO: A More Modest Proposal on Young Men and Guns

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:45 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 19, 2018
POLITICS: Let the Kids Talk - but That's Not the End of Any Debate

NRO: Let the Kids Talk - but That's Not the End of Any Debate

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:15 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 13, 2018
POLITICS: Hypocrisy Is Better Than Its Opposite

NRO: Hypocrisy Is Better Than Its Opposite

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:16 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 7, 2018
POLITICS: Treason, Trump, and the Democrats

NRO: Treason, Trump, and the Democrats

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:40 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 5, 2018
POLITICS: Is Trump Serious About "Treasonous" Democrats?

NRO: Is Trump Serious About "Treasonous" Democrats?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:21 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 3, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: How Congress Can Protect the Mueller Investigation from Trump

NRO: How Congress Can Protect the Mueller Investigation from Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 2, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: Quick Thoughts on The Nunes Memo

NRO: Quick Thoughts on The Nunes Memo

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:36 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 1, 2018
POLITICS/LAW: Chaiters Gonna Chait

NRO: Chaiters Gonna Chait

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:51 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 31, 2018
POLITICS: Trey Gowdy Is Retiring. What Does It Mean? Six Takeaways.

NRO: Trey Gowdy Is Retiring. What Does It Mean? Six Takeaways.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:38 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: State of The Union: Five Things Trump Should Say Tonight

NRO: State of The Union: Five Things Trump Should Say Tonight

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:05 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The State of Our Union Wants To Be Normal

NRO: The State of Our Union Wants To Be Normal

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:53 AM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 30, 2018
POLITICS: Trump's First Year: The Ominous Signs Ahead

NRO: Trump's First Year: The Ominous Signs Ahead

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 AM | Politics 2018 • | Politics 2020 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
January 27, 2018
POLITICS: Trump's First Year: The Bad News

NRO: Trump's First Year: The Bad News

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 AM | Politics 2018 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 26, 2018
POLITICS: Trump's First Year: First, the Good News

NRO: Trump's First Year: First, the Good News

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 AM | Politics 2018 • | Politics 2020 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 24, 2018
POLITICS: Chuck Schumer Doesn't Want An Immigration Deal

NRO: Chuck Schumer Doesn't Want An Immigration Deal

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:32 PM | Politics 2018 • | Writings Elsewhere
BASEBALL: Baseball's Steroids Problem Is A Barry Bonds Problem

NRO: Baseball's Steroids Problem Is A Barry Bonds Problem

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:44 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Baseball Columns • | Writings Elsewhere
January 22, 2018
POP CULTURE: Monopoly: The All-American Board Game

NRO: Monopoly: The All-American Board Game

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:14 PM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
December 27, 2017
POLITICS/BUSINESS: GOP Business Tax Cuts Force Other Countries to Compete

NRO: GOP Business Tax Cuts Force Other Countries to Compete

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:00 AM | Business • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 28, 2017
POLITICS: James O'Keefe Shoots at the Washington Post and Misses

NRO: James O'Keefe Shoots at the Washington Post and Misses

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:16 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 27, 2017
HISTORY/POLITICS: Save the Crusader

NRO: Save the Crusader

My half-doomed effort to save the Holy Cross College mascot.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 PM | Blog 2006-Present • | History • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 18, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Roy Moore Is Not the Cure for Judicial Supremacy

NRO: Roy Moore Is Not the Cure for Judicial Supremacy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:01 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 13, 2017
BASEBALL: Roy Halladay Shows Why Leaders Matter

NRO: Roy Halladay Shows Why Leaders Matter

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:23 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
November 7, 2017
HISTORY/POLITICS: Tim Kaine Is Wrong about America and Slavery

NRO: Tim Kaine Is Wrong about America and Slavery

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:30 PM | History • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 2, 2017
WAR: Yes, radical Islamic terrorism is different

LA Times: Yes, radical Islamic terrorism is different

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:00 AM | In Print • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 30, 2017
LAW/POLITICS/WAR: Trump Adviser Pleads Guilty to Lying about Seeking Hillary Emails from Russia

NRO: Trump Adviser Pleads Guilty to Lying about Seeking Hillary Emails from Russia

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:19 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
LAW/POLITICS: What The Paul Manafort Indictment Means

NRO: What The Paul Manafort Indictment Means

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:01 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 17, 2017
WAR/POLITICS/LAW: New Russian Nuclear Scandal Raises New Questions About Clinton Foundation

NRO: New Russian Nuclear Scandal Raises New Questions About Clinton Foundation

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:13 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 16, 2017
POLITICS: How Not to Marginalize the Alt-Right

NRO: How Not to Marginalize the Alt-Right

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:00 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 11, 2017
POLITICS/FOOTBALL/HISTORY: Flag Protests and the Power of Symbols

NRO: Flag Protests and the Power of Symbols

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:00 AM | Football • | History • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 8, 2017
POLITICS: Harvey Weinstein and The Wages of The "Nuts and Sluts" Defense

NRO: Harvey Weinstein and The Wages of The "Nuts and Sluts" Defense

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:31 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 6, 2017
POLITICS: The Bump Stock Debate Illustrates Two Competing Models of Political Strategy

NRO: The Bump Stock Debate Illustrates Two Competing Models of Political Strategy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:59 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 3, 2017
POLITICS: Bobby Jindal for HHS

NRO: Bobby Jindal for HHS

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:58 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 21, 2017
POLITICS: A Bogus Health-Care Number from the Center for American Progress

NRO: A Bogus Health-Care Number from the Center for American Progress

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:55 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 18, 2017
LAW/POLITICS: Eric Schneiderman Needs to Recuse Himself from Trump Investigations

NRO: Eric Schneiderman Needs to Recuse Himself from Trump Investigations

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:29 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 14, 2017
SCIENCE/POLITICS: Hurricane Irma Should Teach Us Caution About Predictions

NRO: Hurricane Irma Should Teach Us Caution About Predictions

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:43 PM | Politics 2017 • | Science • | Writings Elsewhere
September 4, 2017
POLITICS: Republicans Should Kill This Bad Tax Reform Idea

NRO: Republicans Should Kill This Bad Tax Reform Idea

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:31 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 1, 2017
POLITICS: Do Liberal Writers Really Believe In An Obligation To Oppose Everything Trump Does?

NRO: Do Liberal Writers Really Believe In An Obligation To Oppose Everything Trump Does?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:11 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 31, 2017
POLITICS: Editors Podcast on Hurricane Harvey

NRO: The Editors Podcast, on Hurricane Harvey and other topics.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:00 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 10, 2017
POLITICS: WaPo and The Hill Publish 'Troll Poll' about Postponing the 2020 Election

NRO: WaPo and The Hill Publish 'Troll Poll' about Postponing the 2020 Election

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:56 AM | Politics 2017 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
July 31, 2017
POLITICS: The Pocketbook Party

NR: The Pocketbook Party: Republicans should focus on the cost of living

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | In Print • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 30, 2017
POP CULTURE/HISTORY: Dunkirk Is A Horror Movie

NRO: Dunkirk Is A Horror Movie

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:28 PM | History • | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
July 28, 2017
POLITICS: How Republicans Went Wrong on Health Care

NRO: How Republicans Went Wrong on Health Care

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:25 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 26, 2017
WAR/POLITICS: Military Fitness Is A Military Decision

NRO: Military Fitness Is A Military Decision

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:14 PM | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 20, 2017
WAR: Anti-Radical Muslims Need to Organize and Draw Lines

NRO: Anti-Radical Muslims Need to Organize and Draw Lines

Also up at Fox Nation.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | History • | Religion • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 12, 2017
POLITICS: It's Not Treason, But It's Not Defensible, Either

NRO: It's Not Treason, But It's Not Defensible, Either

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:15 PM | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 26, 2017
LAW/RELIGION/POLITICS: Religious Liberty, Trump Win Important Victories at the Supreme Court

NRO: Religious Liberty, Trump Win Important Victories at the Supreme Court

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:59 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Religion • | Writings Elsewhere
June 20, 2017
POLITICS: In a Bad District for Trump, Karen Handel Persisted

NRO: In a Bad District for Trump, Karen Handel Persisted

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:03 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/HISTORY: We Should Have Heeded This Warning From Ronald Reagan

NRO: We Should Have Heeded This Warning From Ronald Reagan

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:38 AM | History • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 15, 2017
POLITICS: Who's to Blame for Political Violence?

LA Times: Who's to blame for political violence?

My take on the Steve Scalise shooting.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:30 PM | In Print • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 14, 2017
LAW/POLITICS: Yes, The Attorney General Can Have Privileged Conversations With The President

NRO: Yes, The Attorney General Can Have Privileged Conversations With The President

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:42 AM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 8, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Comey Wasn't Investigating Trump - But Look Who Said He Was

NRO: Comey Wasn't Investigating Trump - But Look Who Said He Was

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:04 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 7, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Jim Comey Backs Up Trump's Story, But It's Not All Good News for Trump

NRO: Jim Comey Backs Up Trump's Story, But It's Not All Good News for Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:07 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 4, 2017
HISTORY/POLITICS: A Myopic View Of Robert E. Lee

NRO: A Myopic View Of Robert E. Lee

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:45 PM | History • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 1, 2017
BASEBALL: Fighting Isn't Bryce Harper's Job

NRO: Fighting Isn't Bryce Harper's Job

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:29 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
May 31, 2017
POLITICS: Trump's Problem Isn't How He Talks but What He Says

NRO: Trump's Problem Isn't How He Talks but What He Says

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:43 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 30, 2017
POLITICS: "Never Trump," Winning, and the Duty to Argue in Good Faith

NRO: "Never Trump," Winning, and the Duty to Argue in Good Faith

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:31 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 22, 2017
LAW/POLITICS: Supreme Court Strikes Down Majority-Minority Districts for Being Majority-Minority

NRO: Supreme Court Strikes Down Majority-Minority Districts for Being Majority-Minority

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:05 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW: Here's How Congress Can Fix the Way We Investigate Presidents

NRO: Here's How Congress Can Fix the Way We Investigate Presidents

Also published at CNBC.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:45 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 16, 2017
LAW/POLITICS: In Hate-Crime Prosecutions, Thoughts Shouldn't Matter

LA Times: In hate-crime prosecutions, thoughts shouldn't matter

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | In Print • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 15, 2017
POLITICS: Anti-Anti-Anti-Anti-Trump

NRO: Anti-Anti-Anti-Anti-Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:05 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 11, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Acting FBI Director Shoots Down Media, Trump Narratives

NRO: Acting FBI Director Shoots Down Media, Trump Narratives

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:44 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 10, 2017
POLITICS/LAW/WAR: Republicans Should Want The Russia 2016 Story Out In The Open

NRO: Republicans Should Want The Russia 2016 Story Out In The Open

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:10 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 27, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Will Slow Staffing Cause Trump and Sessions to Side with Obama against the Little Sisters of the Poor?

NRO: Will Slow Staffing Cause Trump and Sessions to Side with Obama against the Little Sisters of the Poor?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:54 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 26, 2017
POLITICS/SPORTS: ESPN Layoffs Should Be a Wake-Up Call about Politicizing Sports

NRO: ESPN Layoffs Should Be a Wake-Up Call about Politicizing Sports

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:47 PM | Other Sports • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 24, 2017
POLITICS: Democrats to Pro-Lifers: You Are Unwanted and May Be Discarded

NRO: Democrats to Pro-Lifers: You Are Unwanted and May Be Discarded

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:17 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 21, 2017
POLITICS: Repeal and Piecemeal: A Better Obamacare Strategy

NRO: Repeal and Piecemeal: A Better Obamacare Strategy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 11, 2017
POLITICS: Sean Spicer Steps in a Hitler Mess

NRO: Sean Spicer Steps in a Hitler Mess

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:48 PM | History • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 3, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Gorsuch Opponents Fall Back on the Last Refuge of Scoundrels

NRO: Gorsuch Opponents Fall Back on the Last Refuge of Scoundrels

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:07 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 27, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Chuck Schumer's Made-Up 60-Vote Standard

NRO: Chuck Schumer's Made-Up 60-Vote Standard

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:51 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 24, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: No, Trump Isn't Under Criminal Investigation by the FBI

NRO: No, Trump Isn't Under Criminal Investigation by the FBI

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:40 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 23, 2017
POLITICS: Hate Crimes Hoaxes Strike Again, Anti-Semitic Bomb Threats Edition

NRO: Hate Crimes Hoaxes Strike Again, Anti-Semitic Bomb Threats Edition

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:22 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW: It Doesn't Matter That Garland Didn't Get a Hearing

NRO: It Doesn't Matter That Garland Didn't Get a Hearing

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:01 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 20, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: The Garland Precedent Should Not Stop Gorsuch

NRO: The Garland Precedent Should Not Stop Gorsuch

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:20 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 18, 2017
POP CULTURE: RIP Chuck Berry, The Founding Father of Rock

NRO: RIP Chuck Berry, The Founding Father of Rock

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:42 PM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
March 14, 2017
POLITICS: Let's Normalize Trump

LA Times: Let's Normalize Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | In Print • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 13, 2017
POLITICS: What The CBO Score Means

NRO: What The CBO Score Means

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:37 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 7, 2017
POLITICS: Republicans Use the Grandfather Option to Fix the Mess Made by Obamacare

NRO: Republicans Use the Grandfather Option to Fix the Mess Made by Obamacare

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:23 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 6, 2017
POLITICS/LAW/HISTORY: Trump and the Emoluments Clause

My latest NR magazine piece: Foreign Entanglements, on Trump and the Constitution's Foreign Emoluments Clause.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:00 PM | History • | In Print • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 1, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: There's No Republican Crackdown on Peaceful Protests

NRO: There's No Republican Crackdown on Peaceful Protests

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:47 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 28, 2017
POLITICS: The State of Trump Is a Work in Progress

NRO: The State of Trump Is a Work in Progress

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:30 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 25, 2017
POLITICS: New Democratic Party Chair Thomas Perez Was Cited By Congress For Official Misdonduct

NRO: New Democratic Party Chair Thomas Perez Was Cited By Congress For Official Misdonduct

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:48 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 24, 2017
POLITICS: How Republicans Should Check Trump

NRO: How Republicans Should Check Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:41 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Democratic Senators Chicken Out From Town Halls

NRO: Democratic Senators Chicken Out From Town Halls

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:30 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 20, 2017
POLITICS: The Gerrymander Myth

My latest NR magazine piece, on gerrymandering: The Gerrymander Myth.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:00 PM | In Print • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 18, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Following Up On The Foreign Emoluments Clause and Gerrymandering

NRO: Following Up On The Foreign Emoluments Clause and Gerrymandering

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:42 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 16, 2017
POLITICS: What About Whataboutism? Does It Matter If Obama Did It First?

NRO: What About Whataboutism? Does It Matter If Obama Did It First?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:15 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 9, 2017
POLITICS/LAW/WAR: Why The Ninth Circuit Ruled Against Trump's Refugee Order

At NRO: Why The Ninth Circuit Ruled Against Trump's Refugee Order.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:42 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITCS/LAW: The Threat to the Integrity of an Independent Judiciary

At NRO: The Threat to the Integrity of an Independent Judiciary

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:22 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 5, 2017
POLITICS/LAW/WAR: Judge Robart: Not A Republican Judge

At NRO: Judge Robart: Not A Republican Judge.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:23 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW/WAR: Trump vs Judge Robart: What Happened?

At NRO: Trump vs Judge Robart: What Happened?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:45 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 28, 2017
POLITICS/LAW: Two Further Thoughts on Trump's Refugee Order

NRO: Two Further Thoughts on Trump's Refugee Order

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:15 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW/WAR: Refugee Madness: Trump Is Wrong, But His Liberal Critics Are Crazy

NRO: Refugee Madness: Trump Is Wrong, But His Liberal Critics Are Crazy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:35 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2017 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 23, 2017
POLITICS: Do Democrats Really Want Their Own Tea Party? Be Careful What You Wish For

NRO: Do Democrats Really Want Their Own Tea Party? Be Careful What You Wish For

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:09 PM | Politics 2017 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
January 21, 2017
POLITICS: Crowd Sizes Matter To The Media Only When The Cause is Liberal

NRO: Crowd Sizes Matter To The Media Only When The Cause is Liberal

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:10 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 20, 2017
POLITICS: Trump: America First

NRO: Trump: America First

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:28 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Trump Strikes an Anti-Washington Note

NRO: Trump Strikes an Anti-Washington Note

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:10 PM | Politics 2017 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 18, 2017
BASEBALL: Rock The Hall

NRO: Rock The Hall

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:40 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
January 17, 2017
POLITICS: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 4 of 4

NRO: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 4 of 4, looking at where Trump underperformed other Republican candidates.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
January 16, 2017
POP CULTURE: At The Movies, Technology Isn't Everything

NRO: At The Movies, Technology Isn't Everything

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:49 PM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
January 12, 2017
POLITICS: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 3 of 4

NRO: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 3 of 4, looking at each side's state-by-state turnout as a percentage of the Voting-Eligible Population.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:18 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
January 11, 2017
POLITICS: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 2 of 4

NRO: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 2 of 4, looking at how Trump performed in the battleground states by historical standards for post-incumbent challengers.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
January 10, 2017
POLITICS: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 1 of 4

NRO: The Real Reason Trump Won: Part 1 of 4, looking at how Trump performed nationally by historical standards for post-incumbent challengers.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 21, 2016
POLITICS: Hillary Clinton: President of California

POLITICS: Hillary Clinton: President of California

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:47 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 19, 2016
POLITICS: The Media/Liberal Obsession With Conclusions

NRO: The Media/Liberal Obsession With Conclusions

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:36 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 10, 2016
POLITICS/BASEBALL: A Valentine For Japan?

NRO: A Valentine For Japan?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:31 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 8, 2016
POLITICS: New York's Vote Was A Microcosm of America in 2016

NRO: New York's Vote Was A Microcosm of America in 2016

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:43 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 3, 2016
POLITICS: The Electoral College Is Not Like Slavery

NRO: The Electoral College Is Not Like Slavery

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:27 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 2, 2016
POLITICS: Congress Should Let General Mattis Serve as Secretary of Defense

NRO: Congress Should Let General Mattis Serve as Secretary of Defense

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:29 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 30, 2016
POLITICS: Trump Needs To Take The VA Secretary Job Seriously

NRO: Trump Needs To Take The VA Secretary Job Seriously

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:53 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 23, 2016
POLITICS: Mitt Romney, The State Department, and Loyalty

NRO: Mitt Romney, The State Department, and Loyalty

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:10 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Haley's Comet Streaks Towards Turtle Bay

NRO: Haley's Comet Streaks Towards Turtle Bay

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:18 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 21, 2016
POLITICS: Hillary Voters: The Minority in 37 States

NRO: Hillary Voters: The Minority in 37 States

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:28 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
November 16, 2016
POLITICS: Does Donald Trump Have a Mandate?

NRO: Does Donald Trump Have a Mandate?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:47 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
November 10, 2016
POLITICS: My Cousin Donnie

NRO: My Cousin Donnie

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:25 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 9, 2016
POLITICS: A Republican Win, Not Just A Trump Win

NRO: A Republican Win, Not Just A Trump Win

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:21 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Where Does Never Trump Go in a Trump Presidency?

NRO: Where Does Never Trump Go in a Trump Presidency?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:52 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: We're Going to Need Each Other, America

NRO: We're Going to Need Each Other, America

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:49 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 8, 2016
POLITICS: How Will The Senate Break?

NRO: How Will The Senate Break?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:08 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: My Final Prediction: Hillary 303, Trump 235

NRO: My Final Prediction: Hillary 303, Trump 235

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Democrats Aren't Preparing Their Voters For Hillary To Lose

NRO: Democrats Aren't Preparing Their Voters For Hillary To Lose

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:31 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 7, 2016
POLITICS: In Defense of Trump Voters

NRO: In Defense of Trump Voters

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 5, 2016
POLITICS: Where Trump Stands Right Now

NRO: Where Trump Stands Right Now

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:04 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
November 3, 2016
POLITICS: Republicans Coming Home in The Campaign's Last Days

NRO: Republicans Coming Home in The Campaign's Last Days

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:14 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
BASEBALL: Baseball Goes Deep: Extra Innings, Game Seven

NRO: Baseball Goes Deep: Extra Innings, Game Seven

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:04 AM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
November 2, 2016
HISTORY: History is Forgotten If We Don't Keep It Fresh

NRO: History is Forgotten If We Don't Keep It Fresh

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:12 PM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
LAW/POLITICS: The Latest Partisan Hit Job on Clarence Thomas

NRO: The Latest Partisan Hit Job on Clarence Thomas

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:40 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 31, 2016
LAW/POLITICS: Cliven Bundy, Jim Comey, and the Problem of Political Prosecutions

NRO: Cliven Bundy, Jim Comey, and the Problem of Political Prosecutions

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 28, 2016
POLITICS/LAW: What Is the 'Unrelated Case' That Caused the FBI to Reopen the Hillary Investigation?

NRO: What Is the 'Unrelated Case' That Caused the FBI to Reopen the Hillary Investigation?

(As we learned out shortly after I posted this, it was the latest Anthony Weiner sexting case).

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:36 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 19, 2016
POLITICS: Trump Holds the Line

NRO: Trump Holds the Line

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:54 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Trump Opens As Best He Can

NRO: Trump Opens As Best He Can

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:27 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Republican Senators Still Swimming against the Trump Tide - for Now

NRO: Republican Senators Still Swimming against the Trump Tide - for Now

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:07 AM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
October 18, 2016
HISTORY/POLITICS: The Real Reagan Record on AIDS

NRO: The Real Reagan Record on AIDS

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:17 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 15, 2016
BASEBALL: The 2016 Cubs: One Of The Best Defensive Teams Since 1900

NRO: The 2016 Cubs: One Of The Best Defensive Teams Since 1900

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:21 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Baseball Studies • | Writings Elsewhere
October 14, 2016
POLITICS: Trump The Transgressive Candidate

NRO: Trump The Transgressive Candidate

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:20 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 13, 2016
POP CULTURE: Bob Dylan's Nobel Prize

NRO: Bob Dylan's Nobel Prize

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:14 PM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
October 12, 2016
POLITICS: Thinking About Trump and "Locker Room Talk"

NRO: Thinking About Trump and "Locker Room Talk"

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:16 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 10, 2016
POLITICS: The Death of Compartmentalization

NRO: The Death of Compartmentalization

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Bobby Jindal's Fiscal Record

My latest NR magazine piece, on Bobby Jindal's fiscal record in Louisiana.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:55 PM | In Print • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 8, 2016
POLITICS: Trump Is Not Part Of The Right's Tribe

NRO: Trump Is Not Part Of The Right's Tribe

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:10 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
October 7, 2016
POLITICS/POP CULTURE: Oh, NOW David Letterman Thinks Trump Should Be Shunned

NRO: Oh, NOW David Letterman Thinks Trump Should Be Shunned

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:07 AM | Politics 2016 • | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
October 4, 2016
POLITICS: Pence Beats Kaine, Kaine Beats Trump

NRO: Pence Beats Kaine, Kaine Beats Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:41 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Tim Kaine, Pro-Abortion Catholic

NRO: Tim Kaine, Pro-Abortion Catholic

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:29 PM | Politics 2016 • | Religion • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The Too-Happy Warrior

NRO: The Too-Happy Warrior

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:54 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Pence's and Kaine's Briar Patches

NRO: Pence's and Kaine's Briar Patches

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:47 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Kaine The Interruptor

NRO: Kaine The Interruptor

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:26 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 30, 2016
POLITICS: Democrats Get Trump Envy

NRO: Democrats Get Trump Envy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:34 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 27, 2016
POLITICS: We Got The Debate We Deserved Tonight

NRO: We Got The Debate We Deserved Tonight

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:47 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Trump's taxes

NRO: Trump's taxes

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:40 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Hillary is worried about her base

NRO: Hillary is worried about her base.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:19 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 26, 2016
POLITICS: Watch The Dogs That Don't Bark Tonight

NRO: Watch The Dogs That Don't Bark Tonight

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:39 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The Not-Hillary Campaign

NRO: The Not-Hillary Campaign

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:06 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
September 22, 2016
POLITICS: Hillary's Accomplishments Are Her Problem

NRO: Hillary's Accomplishments Are Her Problem

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:23 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Overthinking Why Young Voters Don't Love Hillary

NRO: Overthinking Why Young Voters Don't Love Hillary

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:31 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 21, 2016
POLITICS: Polling is Art, Or Craft; It's Not An Exact Science

NRO: Polling is Art, Or Craft; It's Not An Exact Science

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:14 AM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
September 20, 2016
WAR: Today in Vox Alumni, Afghanistan Edition

NRO: Today in Vox Alumni, Afghanistan Edition

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:26 PM | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: What Would Democrats Do If They Had to Cope with a President Trump?

NRO: What Would Democrats Do If They Had to Cope with a President Trump?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 17, 2016
POLITICS: How Trump Compares To Bush, McCain and Romney at this Stage

NRO: How Trump Compares To Bush, McCain and Romney at this Stage

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:48 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
September 14, 2016
POLITICS: Good Polling News for Republicans, Even Trump

NRO: Good Polling News for Republicans, Even Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:59 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Re: A Hillary Experiment

NRO: Re: A Hillary Experiment (Why Hillary took most of August off the trail).

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 11, 2016
WAR: Where I Was on September 11

NRO: Where I Was on September 11 (2016 reprint)

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:43 AM | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 9, 2016
POLITICS: Peter Beinart Can't Imagine Any Reason But Sexism For Disliking Hillary Clinton

NRO: Peter Beinart Can't Imagine Any Reason But Sexism For Disliking Hillary Clinton

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:35 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
BASEBALL/POLITICS: Rooting for Reyes

NRO: Rooting for Reyes

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:33 AM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 4, 2016
HISTORY: Reagan On The Auction Block

NRO: Reagan On The Auction Block

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:37 AM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
September 1, 2016
POLITICS/LAW: Today in Vox

NRO: Today in Vox

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:39 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 31, 2016
POLITICS: Trumpism's Bad Night By The Numbers

NRO: Trumpism's Bad Night By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:20 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
August 30, 2016
POP CULTURE: Fifty Years Ago Today: The Last Beatles Concert

NRO: Fifty Years Ago Today: The Last Beatles Concert

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:53 PM | Pop Culture • | Writings Elsewhere
August 24, 2016
POLITICS: Re: Amnesty Is Not the 'Core Dilemma' in Immigration Policy

NRO: Re: Amnesty Is Not the 'Core Dilemma' in Immigration Policy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:09 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 11, 2016
POLITICS: Trump-strapping: Liberal Pundits Use Trump to Win Old Arguments

NRO: Trump-strapping: Liberal Pundits Use Trump to Win Old Arguments

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 10, 2016
POLITICS: Paul Ryan Wins Big Time

NRO: Paul Ryan Wins Big Time

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:23 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
August 5, 2016
POLITICS: How to Tell If the GOP Has Become a Trump Party

NRO: How to Tell If the GOP Has Become a Trump Party

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:10 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
August 4, 2016
POLITICS: Pew: The Voters Lose Faith In The Voters

NRO: Pew: The Voters Lose Faith In The Voters

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:24 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
August 1, 2016
POLITICS/WAR: Hillary Clinton's Foreign Policy Failures

Most of my NRO content can be found now on my NR author page, although I probably should update the links here more often anyway.

My first article in the magazine (subscription-only, and those aren't linked in the author archive): Hillary Clinton's Foreign Policy Failures

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:33 PM | In Print • | Politics 2016 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 27, 2016
POLITICS: Hillary Clinton Just Threw Donald Trump Into The Briar Patch

NRO: Hillary Clinton Just Threw Donald Trump Into The Briar Patch

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:03 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 26, 2016
LAW/POLITICS: Court Blocks Terry McAuliffe on Felon Voting, but He Won't Give Up

NRO: Court Blocks Terry McAuliffe on Felon Voting, but He Won't Give Up

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:25 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Prosecuting Journalism Is Worse Than Chanting "Lock Her Up"

NRO: Prosecuting Journalism Is Worse Than Chanting "Lock Her Up"

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 22, 2016
POLITICS: Clinton-Kaine?

NRO: Clinton-Kaine?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:14 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 19, 2016
POLITICS: How the White House Correspondents' Dinner Gave Us the Trump Campaign

NRO: How the White House Correspondents' Dinner Gave Us the Trump Campaign

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:57 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 18, 2016
POLITICS: How Republican Campaign Consultants Have Failed the Party

NRO: How Republican Campaign Consultants Have Failed the Party

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:44 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The New Yorker Talks to Trump's Ghostwriter

NRO: The New Yorker Talks to Trump's Ghostwriter

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 15, 2016
POLITICS: Mike Pence Changes A Lot In Indiana, But Nothing Nationally

NRO: Mike Pence Changes A Lot In Indiana, But Nothing Nationally

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:08 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 14, 2016
POLITICS: Should The GOP Adopt A No More Trumps Rule For 2020?

NRO: Should The GOP Adopt A No More Trumps Rule For 2020?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:23 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 8, 2016
POLITICS: A Few Thoughts on an Hour of Peril

NRO: A Few Thoughts on an Hour of Peril

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:43 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 5, 2016
POLITICS/WAR: What Edward Snowden and Hillary Clinton Have in Common

NRO: What Edward Snowden and Hillary Clinton Have in Common

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:35 PM | Politics 2016 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 4, 2016
HISTORY/POLITICS: The Declaration of Independence: A Demand for Accountability

NRO: The Declaration of Independence: A Demand for Accountability

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:56 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 3, 2016
POLITICS/LAW: Why Did Hillary Clinton Spend Three and a Half Hours This Morning With The FBI?

NRO: Why Did Hillary Clinton Spend Three and a Half Hours This Morning With The FBI?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:44 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 1, 2016
WAR: Obama's Holiday Weekend Civilian Drone Death News Dump

NRO: Obama's Holiday Weekend Civilian Drone Death News Dump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:07 PM | Politics 2016 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 29, 2016
POLITICS: In Harlem, Democrats Trade Race Cards and Voter Suppression Charges

NRO: In Harlem, Democrats Trade Race Cards and Voter Suppression Charges

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:43 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 28, 2016
POLITICS: No, This Is Not How We Got Trump

NRO: No, This Is Not How We Got Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 27, 2016
POLITICS: The Crazy People Have Taken Charge of the Democratic Party

NRO: The Crazy People Have Taken Charge of the Democratic Party

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:49 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Donald Trump's One-Day Fundraising Haul Is Probably Bogus

NRO: Donald Trump's One-Day Fundraising Haul Is Probably Bogus

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:34 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW: 'Borking' Shows Why Senators Matter

NRO: 'Borking' Shows Why Senators Matter

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:33 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 24, 2016
WAR/POLITICS: What If The Orlando Shooter Wasn't Gay After All?

NRO: What If The Orlando Shooter Wasn't Gay After All?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:00 PM | Politics 2016 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 23, 2016
POLITICS: Has Britain Declared Independence?

NRO: Has Britain Declared Independence?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:00 PM | Politics 2016 • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 22, 2016
POLITICS: Patrick Murphy Is a Fraud

NRO: Patrick Murphy Is a Fraud

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:45 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 21, 2016
LAW/POLITICS: Is There Anything to a Lawsuit Accusing Donald Trump of Raping a 13-Year-Old Girl with Bill Clinton's Billionaire Sex Buddy?

NRO: Is There Anything to a Lawsuit Accusing Donald Trump of Raping a 13-Year-Old Girl with Bill Clinton's Billionaire Sex Buddy?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:03 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
RELIGION/LAW/POLITICS: The New York Daily News Smears Catholic Bishop with a Bogus Bribe Charge

NRO: The New York Daily News Smears Catholic Bishop with a Bogus Bribe Charge

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:38 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Religion • | Writings Elsewhere
June 15, 2016
BASEBALL: Ichiro Suzuki: A Hit King, But Not The Hit King

NRO: Ichiro Suzuki: A Hit King, But Not The Hit King

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:42 PM | Baseball 2012-Present • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/HISTORY: Re-Imagining Russell Kirk

NRO: Re-Imagining Russell Kirk

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:41 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
LAW/POLITICS: Six Thoughts on Free Speech and the Bankruptcy of Gawker

NRO: Six Thoughts on Free Speech and the Bankruptcy of Gawker

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:44 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: How Bad Are Trump's National Polls? Some History.

NRO: How Bad Are Trump's National Polls? Some History.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:56 AM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
June 14, 2016
WAR/RELIGION: There Is No Radical Christianity That Compares to Radical Islam

NRO: There Is No Radical Christianity That Compares to Radical Islam

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:01 PM | Religion • | War 2007-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 10, 2016
POLITICS: Donald Trump Is Down 46-35 To Hillary Clinton In His Favorite Poll

NRO: Donald Trump Is Down 46-35 To Hillary Clinton In His Favorite Poll

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:59 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Could The GOP Convention Dump Trump for Scott Walker?

NRO: Could The GOP Convention Dump Trump for Scott Walker?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:38 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 9, 2016
POLITICS/LAW: With Obama's Endorsement of Hillary Clinton, He Should Appoint a Special Prosecutor

NRO: With Obama's Endorsement of Hillary Clinton, He Should Appoint a Special Prosecutor

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:44 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 8, 2016
POLITICS/HISTORY: A Few More Words About Zachary Taylor and Donald Trump

NRO: A Few More Words About Zachary Taylor and Donald Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:13 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Yes, Hillary Clinton's $12,000 Jacket Makes Her a Hypocrite about Income Inequality

NRO: Yes, Hillary Clinton's $12,000 Jacket Makes Her a Hypocrite about Income Inequality

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:05 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: With a Little Effort, Donald Trump Could Have Appealed to Conservatives

NRO: With a Little Effort, Donald Trump Could Have Appealed to Conservatives

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:00 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 7, 2016
POLITICS: A Farewell To RedState

RS: A Farewell To RedState

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:37 PM | Blog 2006-Present • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 4, 2016
HISTORY/POLITICS: Politico Sells Zachary Taylor Short

NRO: Politico Sells Zachary Taylor Short

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:56 AM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
June 2, 2016
POLITICS: We Get the Candidates Our Undignified Media Deserve

LA Times: We get the candidates our undignified media deserve

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:02 AM | In Print • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/HISTORY: No, Ronald Reagan Didn't Launch His 1980 Campaign in Philadelphia, MS

RS: No, Ronald Reagan Didn't Launch His 1980 Campaign in Philadelphia, MS

Republican presidential candidate Ronald Reagan, left, moves through the crowd shaking hands at the Neshoba County Fair in Philadelphia, Mississippi on Sunday, August 3, 1980. There crowd was estimated at 20,000. (AP Photo/Jack Thornell)

One of the wearying things about arguing with liberal/progressives is that they never stop trying to rewrite history; a bogus claim that is debunked only stays debunked if you keep at debunking it year after year after year. So it is with the hardy perennial effort to tar the reputation of Ronald Reagan by claiming that his 1980 presidential campaign and subsequent two-term presidency was tainted from the outset by having kicked off his campaign with a speech about "states' rights" in Philadelphia, Mississippi - Nation editor Katrina Vanden Heuvel was retailing this one on ABC's Sunday show The Week just two weeks ago, trying to compare Reagan to Donald Trump:

There's all this nostalgia about Ronald Reagan. Ronald Reagan announced his candidacy in Philadelphia, Mississippi, the site for where three civil rights workers were killed by white supremacists.

There are many other sources that assert this as fact - see, for example, this Huffington Post column from April by Nicolaus Mills, Professor of American Studies, Sarah Lawrence College:
[I]n going to Patchogue, Long Island this coming Thursday to speak at a controversial Republican fundraiser, Trump is taking a page out of the Ronald Reagan playbook. He's following the path that Reagan took in 1980 when he began his presidential campaign at the Neshoba County Fair in Philadelphia, Mississippi.

Long Island? Forget it, he's rolling. More examples from one presidential cycle to the next can be found from David Greenberg at Slate, William Raspberry in the Washington Post, Paul Krugman and Bob Herbert in the New York Times, and so on. Wikipedia even has a page for "Reagan's Neshoba County Fair "states' rights" speech".

Where to begin? This particular canard has so many things wrong with it, I feel obligated to set them all down in sequence. Hopefully, doing so here should - at least for a little while - collect the context in one place.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:15 AM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 30, 2016
HISTORY: Remember Joseph Warren This Memorial Day

RS: Remember Joseph Warren This Memorial Day

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:27 PM | History • | Writings Elsewhere
May 25, 2016
POLITICS: The Dog That Didn't Bark: Trump Voters in Down-Ballot Primaries

NRO: The Dog That Didn't Bark: Trump Voters in Down-Ballot Primaries

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:29 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
May 23, 2016
POLITICS: You Won't Believe Why Hillary Bagman Terry McAuliffe Is Under Federal Investigation

RS: You Won't Believe Why Hillary Bagman Terry McAuliffe Is Under Federal Investigation

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:04 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 18, 2016
POLITICS/LAW: Three Thoughts on Donald Trump's Supreme Court List

NRO: Three Thoughts on Donald Trump's Supreme Court List

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:48 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 17, 2016
POLITICS: The Never Trump Movement Is Neither Anti-American Nor Hypocritical

RS: The Never Trump Movement Is Neither Anti-American Nor Hypocritical

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:54 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 11, 2016
POLITICS: A Very Different Republican Coalition: Can It Fly?

RS: A Very Different Republican Coalition: Can It Fly?

A group of coal miners wave signs for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as they wait for a rally in Charleston, W.Va., Thursday, May 5, 2016. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

There's been a lot of attention paid to Donald Trump's appeal to a particular type of voter: white working class, no college degree, not that religious or socially conservative but anti-immigration. Let's look at a few exit poll numbers to contemplate how a Trump coalition might be shaped very differently from Mitt Romney's coalition, which drew together a respectable but insufficient 47% of the general electorate.

I did some simple algebra combining the share of each group in the electorate and the share won by each candidate, to consider what chunk of their voters fell in each group. For example, college graduates were 45% of the 2012 general electorate and Romney won 48% of them, so whereas non-college-grads were 53% and Romney won 47% of them - thus college-educated Romney voters were 23% of all voters, non-college-educated Romney voters were 25% of all voters, and accordingly college-educated voters made up 48% of the Romney vote. For purposes of this exercise I looked back at the Trump coalition in three states that were decisive (Indiana, Florida and South Carolina). While primary and general election coalitions are different animals, this is the data we have to work with so far, and it gives us a clue as to some of Trump's challenges ahead, as well as how a candidate with Trump's appeal to such groups could be an electoral force if that candidate wasn't also as off-putting as Trump is to other core elements of the Romney coalition.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
May 6, 2016
POLITICS: Is #NeverTrump Doomed To Fold?

NRO: Is #NeverTrump Doomed To Fold?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:34 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
May 5, 2016
POLITICS: Dear Republican Politician: Let's Talk about Donald Trump

NRO: Dear Republican Politician: Let's Talk about Donald Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:32 PM | Writings Elsewhere
May 4, 2016
POLITICS: Politics Is Still Downstream of Culture

RS: Politics Is Still Downstream of Culture

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:34 PM | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Trump's Next Victim: Pollsters

RS: Trump's Next Victim: Pollsters

Citizen Kane Fraud at Polls

Donald Trump has proven adept at corrupting everyone and everything that comes into his orbit. He has constructed a kind of cargo-cult imitation of a real political campaign, with press flacks and pundits and elected officials and "policy advisors" and even now speechwriters all acting as if Trump was a real candidate rather than a bad joke told too long. But the one thing Trump has not really needed so far was thoroughly bogus general election polls. Oh, his strength has been overstated in some national primary polls, and the online Reuters poll has been a particular favorite. But Trump in the primaries has mostly been content to tell bald-face lies about his polling against Hillary Clinton, content that any rebuttal could be shouted down with "BUT I AM BEATING YOU IN THE PRIMARY SO YOU MUST BE WORSE."

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:33 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
May 1, 2016
POLITICS: Yes, Donald Trump Would Be Worse Than Any Prior Republican Nominee

RS: Yes, Donald Trump Would Be Worse Than Any Prior Republican Nominee

RomneyMcCain
My reasons for not voting for Donald Trump, even in a general election against Hillary Clinton, are straightforward. Trump is not with me on any issue I care about, would be a terrible and unstable Commander-in-Chief, and would discredit and poison the party and the movement I believe in. Why on earth would I give my vote to him, ever? One of the standard questions asked of #NeverTrump voters is why we find Trump a bridge too far even though a lot of #NeverTrump voters have voted for some pretty disappointing Republican candidates before.

Why now? Why Trump?

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:31 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 27, 2016
POLITICS: Trump Supporters Already Pre-Spinning November Trump Loss

RS: Trump Supporters Already Pre-Spinning November Trump Loss

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:31 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The Fiorina Pick

NRO: The Fiorina Pick

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:33 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 26, 2016
POLITICS: Ten Reasons Moderates Should Vote for Ted Cruz

NRO: Ten Reasons Moderates Should Vote for Ted Cruz

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:29 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 25, 2016
POLITICS/FOOTBALL: Donald Trump Hearts Tom Brady; Does Indiana?

RS: Donald Trump Hearts Tom Brady; Does Indiana?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:30 PM | Football • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 20, 2016
HISTORY/POLITICS: Do Not Weep for Andrew Jackson

NRO: Do Not Weep for Andrew Jackson

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:27 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 19, 2016
POLITICS: What To Watch For In Tonight's NY Republican Primary

RS: What To Watch For In Tonight's NY Republican Primary

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:39 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: When Will Democrats Return Trump's Donations?

NRO: When Will Democrats Return Trump's Donations?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 8, 2016
POLITICS: After Wisconsin, By The Numbers

RS: After Wisconsin, By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:28 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
April 5, 2016
POLITICS: No, Donald Trump Can't "Burn It Down." Washington Would Go On The Same.

RS: No, Donald Trump Can't "Burn It Down." Washington Would Go On The Same.

angrymob

Of all the arguments made in favor of a vote for Donald Trump to be President of the United States, or at any rate the Republican nominee, probably the most seductive is the argument that Trump will “burn it down”: replace the business-as-usual Washington political establishment with a bull-in-a-china-shop outsider who will do something different. A great many Americans across the political spectrum are deeply frustrated with our system, for many reasons – some of them very good reasons, others understandable ones. Trump speaks to their frustrations, which is a major reason why he has won 37.1% of the popular vote so far in the Republican primaries; so does Bernie Sanders, which is a major reason why Sanders has won 41.1% of the popular vote so far in the Democratic primaries. But even setting aside the many reasons why Trump is highly unlikely to win a general election, anyone who understands the problems with how Washington works also knows that Trump is almost uniquely unsuited to actually change them.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:27 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
April 4, 2016
LAW/POLITICS: BREAKING: SCOTUS Rejects "One Man One Vote" Challenge

RS: BREAKING: SCOTUS Rejects "One Man One Vote" Challenge

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:26 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 25, 2016
POLITICS: Why Did Almost Nobody See The Trade Issue Coming Before Trump?

NRO: Why Did Almost Nobody See The Trade Issue Coming Before Trump?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:30 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 24, 2016
POLITICS: Can Donald Trump or Ted Cruz Beat Hillary Clinton? A New National Poll May Surprise You

RS: Can Donald Trump or Ted Cruz Beat Hillary Clinton? A New National Poll May Surprise You

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:24 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 18, 2016
POLITICS: Mitt Romney: I'm Voting For Ted Cruz. You Should Too.

RS: Mitt Romney: I'm Voting For Ted Cruz. You Should Too.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:23 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 17, 2016
POLITICS: It Is Time To Grow Up And Unite Cruz And Rubio Supporters Behind Ted Cruz

RS: It Is Time To Grow Up And Unite Cruz And Rubio Supporters Behind Ted Cruz

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:22 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Ted Cruz or Bust: Armageddon Tuesday By The Numbers

RS: Ted Cruz or Bust: Armageddon Tuesday By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:21 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 15, 2016
POLITICS: This Is Not 1980, And Donald Trump Is Not Ronald Reagan

RS: This Is Not 1980, And Donald Trump Is Not Ronald Reagan

TrumpCarter

Every piece of evidence we have about the 2016 general election and the world around us points in the same direction: if nominated, Donald Trump would lose, and likely lose badly. The fact that Trump has defied expectations in the primary and survived numerous incidents (seemingly almost daily) that would end any other political career has given pundits and analysts an almost superstitious, gunshy awe of predicting failure for him - thus the "lol nothing matters" response you often get when you discuss both Trump's obvious, glaring weaknesses and his pitiably weak standing in the polls. But the one straw commonly grasped by Trump supporters when confronted by the evidence is Gallup's polling from early 1980 showing that Ronald Reagan was some 30 points behind Jimmy Carter, who of course he went on to demolish in the fall.

The Gallup 1980 polls are a weak analogy, for several reasons.

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:20 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 9, 2016
POLITICS: It Is Time For Marco Rubio To Join Ted Cruz For The Benefit Of Marco Rubio

RS: It Is Time For Marco Rubio To Join Ted Cruz For The Benefit Of Marco Rubio

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
March 7, 2016
POLITICS: Donald Trump Is A Cowardly Appeaser Who Got Bullied By The Mob

RS: Donald Trump Is A Cowardly Appeaser Who Got Bullied By The Mob

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 5, 2016
POLITICS: Don't Overlook The Importance Of This Weekend's Voting

RS: Don't Overlook The Importance Of This Weekend's Voting

Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:17 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 3, 2016
POLITICS: Marco Rubio's Path To Victory After Super Tuesday, By The Numbers

RS: Marco Rubio's Path To Victory After Super Tuesday, By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Will John Kasich Criticize Donald Trump Tonight or Run Interference for Him?

NRO: Will John Kasich Criticize Donald Trump Tonight or Run Interference for Him?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:10 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
March 1, 2016
POLITICS: New CNN Poll: Trump Loses To Hillary, Rubio & Cruz Would Win

RS: New CNN Poll: Trump Loses To Hillary, Rubio & Cruz Would Win

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:16 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: A Vote For Trump is a Vote For Hillary Clinton: Why Trump Is A Sure Loser

RS: A Vote For Trump is a Vote For Hillary Clinton: Why Trump Is A Sure Loser

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:15 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 28, 2016
POLITICS: Donald Trump is a Glass-Jawed Coward Afraid to Debate Rubio or Cruz Again

RS: Donald Trump is a Glass-Jawed Coward Afraid to Debate Rubio or Cruz Again

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:14 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Donald Trump Fails Three Times to Deny the KKK

NRO: Donald Trump Fails Three Times to Deny the KKK

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:14 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 27, 2016
POLITICS: Release Your Testimony, Donald Trump

RS: Release Your Testimony, Donald Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:42 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Marco Rubio Gives Democratic Strategists The Vapors

RS: Marco Rubio Gives Democratic Strategists The Vapors

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:41 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Super Tuesday Preview: Massachusetts

RS: Super Tuesday Preview: Massachusetts

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:40 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 26, 2016
POLITICS: Will Donald Trump Bail on Future Debates?

RS: Will Donald Trump Bail on Future Debates?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:39 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 25, 2016
POLITICS: America Won Tonight's Debate

RS: America Won Tonight's Debate

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:38 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Second Florida Poll Of The Day Shows Rubio Closer To Trump

RS: Second Florida Poll Of The Day Shows Rubio Closer To Trump

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:37 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: New National Poll of Hispanics: Rubio Popular, Trump Hated

RS: New National Poll of Hispanics: Rubio Popular, Trump Hated

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:36 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 24, 2016
POLITICS: Rubio Campaign Calls On Trump To Renounce Pro-Trump White Supremacist Robocalls

RS: Rubio Campaign Calls On Trump To Renounce Pro-Trump White Supremacist Robocalls

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:36 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW: The Vindication of Rick Perry

RS: The Vindication of Rick Perry

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:35 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 23, 2016
POLITICS: The Ted Cruz Campaign Will Win Or Lose By March 6

RS: The Ted Cruz Campaign Will Win Or Lose By March 6

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:25 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Nevada GOP Caucus Looks Like A Voter Fraud Bonanza

RS: Nevada GOP Caucus Looks Like A Voter Fraud Bonanza

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:03 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 22, 2016
POLITICS: 'Amnesty' Is A Majority Position With Republican Primary Voters

RS: 'Amnesty' Is A Majority Position With Republican Primary Voters

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:24 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: South Carolina By The Numbers

RS: South Carolina By The Numbers

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:23 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 20, 2016
POLITICS: Exit Polls From 2012, 2008 and 2000 Tell Us A Few Things About South Carolina

RS: Exit Polls From 2012, 2008 and 2000 Tell Us A Few Things About South Carolina

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:21 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 19, 2016
POLITICS: New South Carolina Polls Show A BIG Surprise

RS: New South Carolina Polls Show A BIG Surprise

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:20 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 18, 2016
POLITICS: John Kasich's Brokered-Convention-Or-Bust Strategy

RS: John Kasich's Brokered-Convention-Or-Bust Strategy

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:19 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: The Time For Expectations Management Is Ending

RS: The Time For Expectations Management Is Ending

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:18 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
LAW: Antonin Scalia's Political Philosophy

TWS: Antonin Scalia's Political Philosophy

Read More »


Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:29 PM | In Print • | Law 2009-18 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 17, 2016
POLITICS: Is Jeb Bush Preparing Himself to Drop Out?

NRO: Is Jeb Bush Preparing Himself to Drop Out?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:09 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 16, 2016
POLITICS: New South Carolina Poll From CNN: The Race For 2-3-4

RS: New South Carolina Poll From CNN: The Race For 2-3-4

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:17 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: A Nutty Plan To Confirm An Obama Nominee To Replace Scalia - After The Election

RS: A Nutty Plan To Confirm An Obama Nominee To Replace Scalia - After The Election

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:15 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 15, 2016
HISTORY/LAW/POLITICS: Closing The Book On The Silent Generation

NRO: Closing The Book On The Silent Generation

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:11 PM | History • | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 14, 2016
POLITICS: Can Any Republican Senators Afford To Go Wobbly On A Scalia Replacement? Guess Which Ones.

RS: Can Any Republican Senators Afford To Go Wobbly On A Scalia Replacement? Guess Which Ones.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:12 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Which Obama Do Republicans Want to Nominate?

NRO: Which Obama Do Republicans Want to Nominate?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 6:36 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS/LAW: Scalia and South Carolina

NRO: Justice Scalia, Political Philosopher and Political Football

RS: New Hampshire Primary By The Numbers

RS: Take A RedState Presidential Electability Poll!

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:31 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 9, 2016
POLITICS: New Hampshire Primary 2016

NRO: The Expectations Game, New Hampshire Primary Edition

Posted by Baseball Crank at 12:30 PM | Politics 2016 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
February 8, 2016
POLITICS: Almost New Hampshire

RS: How Big Were The Ratings For ABC's New Hampshire Debate?

NRO: John Kasich Is Not the 'Electable' Republican

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:05 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 6, 2016
POLITICS: New Hampshire Fight Night

NRO: The Curious Case of the Senators That Didn't Bark on Debate Night

RS: Now The Marco Rubio Spin Wars Begin

NRO: What Trump Should Try To Do Tonight

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:29 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
POLITICS: Road to New Hampshire

RS: Are "Electable" Candidates Actually Electable? Part II: Swing State Electability

RS: New Hampshire Is Very Different From Iowa

RS: Paul Ryan on President Obama: Don't Feed The Troll

RS: Hear Rush Limbaugh Call Marco Rubio A "Legitimate, Full-Throated Conservative" [AUDIO]

NRO: The Two Kinds of Presidential Primary Personality Cults

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:31 PM | History • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 3, 2016
POLITICS: Ulrich for Mayor?

RS: Bill de Blasio May Get A Republican Challenger

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:47 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
February 2, 2016
POLITICS: Now With More National Review

As a reminder, you can follow me on Twitter @baseballcrank or bookmark these links to catch up on my latest work:

at RedState

at The Federalist

and now at National Review

Latest since my last post here:

RS: Eight Takeaways From Iowa As New Hampshire Looms

NRO: The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

RS: BREAKING: Projected Winners: Cruz & Hillary

RS: Tim Scott to Endorse Marco Rubio

RS: Media: On Today's Glenn Beck Program

RS: Iowa Establishment Quislings Backing Trump For 30 Pieces of Ethanol?

RS: Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse Responded To Donald Trump and It Was PERFECT

RS: Michael Reagan to Donald Trump: You're No Ronald Reagan

NRO: Last Night's Debate Underlines Why Congress Is a Problem for the 'Establishment' Republicans

RS: Are "Electable" Candidates Actually Electable? Part I: Presidential Primaries 1948-2012

RS: Where Will The "Republican Regular" Voters Go?

RS: The Case For Marco Rubio Part II: The Salesman

RS: New Hampshire Poll: Hillary Up 17 With Women, Bernie Up 42 With Men

RS: GOP Big Money Goes After Marco Rubio

RS: ARG Polls Love John Kasich When Nobody Else Does

RS: Dear Ted Cruz, Donald Trump & Jeb Bush: Stop Trying To Extort GOP Voters Instead of Persuading Them

February 1, 2016
POLITICS: The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

NRO: The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 5:42 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 29, 2016
POLITICS: Last Night's Debate Underlines Why Congress Is a Problem for the "Establishment" Republicans

NRO: Last Night's Debate Underlines Why Congress Is a Problem for the "Establishment" Republicans

Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:35 PM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 17, 2016
POLITICS: Trumpian Motion

RS: Donald Trump Floats A Pro-Abortion Vice President

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:13 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 14, 2016
POLITICS: Rubio, Cruz, Trump

RS: Marco Rubio Is Now Getting Attacked Unfairly For Killing Charlie Crist's Climate Scheme

RS: Ted Cruz Leading Tight Iowa Race In New Gold Standard Poll

RS: The Case For Marco Rubio, Part I: Experience

RS: How A Donald Trump Nomination Would Make The GOP Consultant Class Very Rich

RS: Do Liberals Know The History Of Their Own Ideas?

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:46 AM | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
January 4, 2016
POLITICS: End of 2015

My last two essays of 2015 were just before Christmas:

RS: Against Despair: A Christmas Credo for Republicans

RS: What Would a Rubio Win Look Like?

On to 2016.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 4:47 PM | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 18, 2015
POLITICS: Bomb Aladdin!

RS: PPP Polls Shows Why Issue Polling Is So Unreliable

clown car

One of the favorite shticks of Democrat pollster Public Policy Polling (PPP) is to ask questions designed to make Republican voters look bad. This kind of "troll polling" flatters all the usual sorts of people who love to laugh at what yokels the GOP's supporters are, and as yet no Republican-leaning pollster has gotten into the regular business of giving Democrats a taste of the same medicine. If the last few years have taught us anything, it's not to trust individual polls that can't be checked against a polling average, but by definition these are all one-off polls. But there's a deeper issue here that the latest PPP trolling question illustrates: that average Americans are far too trusting of pollsters, and the ability of pollsters to exploit that trust shows why polling on individual issues is untrustworthy.

Here's the latest poll question that has PPP's followers floating on a cloud of smug this morning:

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Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:30 PM | Politics 2015 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 16, 2015
POLITICS: Fifth Debate Analysis and Boyd Strategy Essay

My longest deep dive of the year, from the theories of John Boyd: Military Strategist Explains Why Donald Trump Leads - And How He Will Fail

In the LA Times: To understand Donald Trump, look to Europe

Debate Review: The Superstars Bleed

Pick Your Favorite Lindsey Graham Face

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:55 AM | History • | In Print • | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
November 26, 2015
POLITICS: The Myth of "4 Million Conservative Voters Stayed Home in 2012"

RS: The Myth of "4 Million Conservative Voters Stayed Home in 2012"

gandalf cavalry

I have frequently criticized liberal and Democratic commentators for relying on the Static Electorate Fallacy, the idea that the 2016 electorate and results will not stray far from the demographic, geographic and ideological contours of 2012, despite longstanding American electoral history showing that elections following the re-election of an incumbent have always featured shifts in the map to the detriment of the party in power. Candidates make their own turnout, and removing a successfully re-elected incumbent always puts more voters and potential voters up for grabs.

But conservative and Republican commentators need to avoid believing our own comforting myths, and one of those has managed remarkable durability even though it should have gone away within a month of the 2012 elections: that something like 4 million usually reliable conservative voters - voters who showed up at the polls even in the down year of 2008 to support John McCain - stayed home in 2012 because Mitt Romney was too moderate. This theory keeps getting offered as proof that all the GOP needs to do is nominate a real conservative and this cavalry, 4 million strong, will come charging over the hilltop and save the day. In fact, poor a candidate as he was, Romney actually got more votes than McCain did; the belief that he got less is based entirely on incomplete numbers reported in the first 24-48 hours after Election Day, before all the votes had finally been counted.

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October 27, 2015
POLITICS/HISTORY: How and Why Ronald Reagan Won

RS: How and Why Ronald Reagan Won

Reagan and Ford 622

Fifty-one years ago today in Los Angeles, a 53-year-old political amateur, Ronald Reagan, gave a half-hour nationally-televised speech, "A Time For Choosing," on behalf of Barry Goldwater's campaign in the following week's presidential election. 16 years later, Reagan would win 44 states and an almost double-digit popular vote margin of victory, kicking off the most successful and conservative Republican presidency in U.S. history, leading to a 49-state landslide in 1984 and the election of his Vice President for a "third Reagan term" in 1988, the only time in the past 70 years that a party has held the White House for three consecutive terms.

Given the extent to which Reagan's legacy still dominates internal debates within the GOP and the conservative movement, it's worth asking ourselves: What did he accomplish? How did he do it? And what can we learn from him today?

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Posted by Baseball Crank at 2:30 PM | History • | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
July 10, 2015
BLOG: Welcome Back, Blog!

I've been neglecting this blog rather badly for altogether too long - the archives say I haven't posted here since September 21, 2014. I've been busy in the interim on Twitter, of course, and publishing elsewhere. I probably need to post archived versions of some of those posts here. For now: links.

I will start with The Weekly Standard, where I have this issue's cover story, just posted today: Giving Thomas His Due, on Justice Thomas' opinions over the past year and what they tell us about his philosophy.

The Federalist

Then there's The Federalist, where I tend to post my longer essays these days. I ran a lengthy 5-part essay prior to the Obergefell decision, "Can Gays And Christians Coexist In America?". Part I looked at the Biblical reasons why Christians believe in one-man-one-woman-for-life marriage. Part II looked at the history of Catholicism and other Biblical Christianity in the battles over slavery and Jim Crow. Part III looked at the Christian concept of scandal and the battle between liberty-based and equality-based views of "LGBT rights." Part IV looked at the legal arguments over the rational basis for distinguishing between opposite-sex and same-sex marriage. And Part V traced possible ways forward for coexistence post-Obergefell, which admittedly are not looking especially promising at the moment.

The First Principle Of U.S. Foreign Policy looked at various approaches to our foreign policy.

Others from the fall, including some of my poll-analysis posts:

The Ferguson Riots Are Nothing Like The Original Tea Party Protests

Polling Postmortem: The Best And Worst Senate Polls Of 2014 (I keep meaning to run the companion piece on the Governors races before 2016 polling heats up).

Do Democrats Always Win Close Statewide Elections? (covers the 1998-2013 elections; I should update this with 2014 results).

Listening To President Obama's Ebola Advice Could Get People Killed

And of course, if you missed it last time, my essay on how History Is Not On The Democrats' Side In 2016 is still an important read on the coming election, undoubtedly the most significant piece I will write on the 2016 election.

RedState

The Rise & Fall of the Confederate Flag in South Carolina - I wrote this a few weeks back, but it's very relevant to today's news.

Reading Tea Leaves on the 2015 Supreme Court Term - Basically just some educated speculation on who would write what and when, which ended up having mixed results.

Democratic Party Now Literally Selling Hate - a Father's Day gift post!

Bernie Sanders, Deodorant and Diversity - a meditation on central planning and markets.

Marco Rubio Recounts The History of Obama’s Treatment of Israel - quick hit on a great Rubio floor speech. Rubio isn't my first choice in 2016, but he's done nothing but impress this year.

From the fall:

2014 and Republican Morale - a GOP victory lap and a reflection on what it meant.

The Breakers Broke: A Look Back At The Fall 2014 Polls - A personal victory lap on my 2014 poll analysis and how it relates to the polling controversies of 2012.

The 2014 Polls And The 2012 Exit Polls - An earlier look at the same topic and at some specific issues with exit polling and poll methodology.

Nobody at Vox.com Has Read The Fourteenth Amendment

BREAKING: Supreme Court Takes Obamacare Subsidies Case (on King v Burwell).

First Cut: 7 Polling and Elections Lessons From 2014 (Immediate 2014 election aftermath)

Why I Voted Yes On Question 1 (NY) (Election Day post on a NY ballot initiative)

Final Senate Breakers & Governors Breakers Report November 3, 2014

Senate Breakers Report October 30, 2014

Governors Breakers Report October 30, 2014

A Sad and Desperate Attack on Chris Christie - Actually a fairly deep dive on voter fraud controversies.

Governors Breakers Report October 22, 2014

Senate Breakers Report October 21, 2014

Senate and Governors Breakers Report October 10, 2014

Senate Breakers Report and Governors Breakers Report: Oct 1

Introducing The Senate Breakers Report - September 26, 2014, the start of my Fall 2014 stretch drive when I started getting too busy to cross-post here.

August 31, 2014
POLITICS: Quoted in the Wall Street Journal

WSJ front page, "Senate Control Comes Down to Eight Races":

Recent election data supports the belief that Democrats dominate in the closest races. Since 1998, Democrats won 13 of 16 Senate and governors’ races that were decided by one percentage point or less, according to a recent analysis by Dan McLaughlin, a lawyer, on the conservative website the Federalist.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:02 PM | In Print • | Politics 2014 • | Writings Elsewhere
September 17, 2010
POLITICS: Posting Up

I have a column in the NY Post this morning on the great missed opportunity that is 2010's Republican Party in New York (it's on p. 25 of the print paper).

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:58 AM | In Print • | Politics 2010 • | Writings Elsewhere | Comments (41) | TrackBack (0)
August 28, 2002
WAR/BLOG: 'Very Smart Inactivist'

I'm obviously still at the stage of just dropping some archival and random stuff in here while I figure out whether there's time in my schedule to blog. Here's one of my little scraps of broader publicity: an email I sent to Jonah Goldberg that got posted in The Corner on the National Review Online.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 7:28 PM | Blog 2002-05 • | War 2002-03 • | Writings Elsewhere | TrackBack (0)
January 25, 2001
BASEBALL: Link From The Prospectus

My Hall of Fame column mentioning Dave Parker and Lou Whitaker (now here) got a link from the Baseball Prospectus.

Posted by Baseball Crank at 9:45 AM | Baseball Columns • | Writings Elsewhere | TrackBack (0)
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