Well, I’ve put my faith all year in Dales as the best of the poll-watchers. Now, it’s put up or shut up time. He’s currently showing states solidly behind the two candidates at 222-186 for Bush, 276-238 for Bush – game, set, match – if the candidates each take the states where they are leading only by a little, and just two states (Ohio and Hawaii) too close to call. Electoral-vote.com has Kerry 298, Bush 231, coming to different conclusions (all in Kerry’s favor) on Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, and Hawaii, with the sole call more in the Bush direction being New Hampshire, listed with New Mexico as the only tossups.