Baseball Crank
"It gets late early around here." - Yogi Berra
December 18, 2015
POLITICS: Bomb Aladdin!

RS: PPP Polls Shows Why Issue Polling Is So Unreliable

clown car

One of the favorite shticks of Democrat pollster Public Policy Polling (PPP) is to ask questions designed to make Republican voters look bad. This kind of "troll polling" flatters all the usual sorts of people who love to laugh at what yokels the GOP's supporters are, and as yet no Republican-leaning pollster has gotten into the regular business of giving Democrats a taste of the same medicine. If the last few years have taught us anything, it's not to trust individual polls that can't be checked against a polling average, but by definition these are all one-off polls. But there's a deeper issue here that the latest PPP trolling question illustrates: that average Americans are far too trusting of pollsters, and the ability of pollsters to exploit that trust shows why polling on individual issues is untrustworthy.

Here's the latest poll question that has PPP's followers floating on a cloud of smug this morning:

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Posted by Baseball Crank at 1:30 PM | Politics 2015 • | Poll and Election Analysis • | Writings Elsewhere
December 16, 2015
POLITICS: Fifth Debate Analysis and Boyd Strategy Essay

My longest deep dive of the year, from the theories of John Boyd: Military Strategist Explains Why Donald Trump Leads - And How He Will Fail

In the LA Times: To understand Donald Trump, look to Europe

Debate Review: The Superstars Bleed

Pick Your Favorite Lindsey Graham Face

Posted by Baseball Crank at 10:55 AM | History • | In Print • | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016 • | Writings Elsewhere
December 15, 2015
POLITICS: Pick Your Favorite Lindsey Graham Face

RS: Pick Your Favorite Lindsey Graham Face

Look, Lindsey Graham is what he is by now. He's a serious voice on national security, whether or not you agree with his neoconservative point of view. He's also an irritatingly moderate figure on many other issues, especially given that he's elected by deep-red South Carolina. He's the only serious, influential figure on the undercard stage, given that none of Huckabee, Santorum or Pataki has won an election in the past 13 years. Really Graham should quit this race, and the undercard debates should be brought to an end, as we get closer to the voting. But as long as they go on, we may as well get a few laughs from them. So pick your favorite face Senator Graham (R-SC) made in tonight's debate:

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Posted by Baseball Crank at 8:44 PM
December 10, 2015
POLITICS/LAW: Up With Scalia, Down With Kasich

This Dumb, Dishonest Attack On Justice Scalia Takes The Cake

This One Statistic DESTROYS John Kasich's Presidential Campaign

Posted by Baseball Crank at 3:31 PM | Law 2009-18 • | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016
December 9, 2015
POLITICS: Latest Essays Through Dec 8, 2015

The 2016 GOP Primary Calendar Is A Challenge For Ted Cruz

8 Ways This Facebook Meme Is Wrong About Treating Guns Like Abortions

Here's The Real Republican Voter Turnout Issue In 2016 (And The Democrats' Too)

Democrat Alan Grayson Goes Full Birther on Ted Cruz

Posted by Baseball Crank at 11:15 AM | Politics 2015 • | Politics 2016