Jim Geraghty has a roundup of what to watch in tomorrow’s Wyoming caucuses, including which candidates have visited the Vice President’s home state (Fred also has Cheney’s daughter Liz in his camp). Voting should be done by 3p.m. local time (5p.m. Eastern time). For the demographically-minded, Wyoming’s population is 11.25% Mormon, the third highest of any state in the nation, so assuming those voters are going to mainly break for Romney and likely to be motivated and well-organized, I’d expect Romney (who has visited the state twice and sent his family to campaign there) to have an edge that may translate into a victory when combined with his turnout organization.
3 thoughts on “Watching Wyoming”
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I know plenty of Mormons who aren’t for Romney. I wouldn’t assume he has the Mormon vote wrapped up in Wyoming.
I don’t assume he has all the Mormon vote, just that he probably has a large majority, and that those who are for him are probably highly motivated. We saw some polling evidence of this in Iowa’s small Mormon population.
I agree with The Crank that Romney probably has the large majority of the Mormon vote. I know some Romney supporters have been trying to spread their support to http://www.fittobepres.com that currently has a poll with McCain in the lead. On the site you can rate any candidate on 10 attributes called “fit factors.” These factors are based on culture criteria the voters have created. Even if you’re not a Romney fan, the site has some interesting conversation going on about each candidate.